China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Likely new 4G restrictions will delay Huawei’s ability to launch mid-range offerings at volume. Xiaomi stands to gain 1.2ppts of share in 2024 vs. our prior forecast. </li>
<li>However, new limits are long-term negative, as it (1) raises the chance for cascading limits on China 3Cs; (2)  triggers reduced 3C electronics demand; (3) weaker industry electronics demand.</li>
<li>The impact of the latest set of restrictions will likely prove net negative, in our view, as a result we re-iterate our SELL rating and HK$7.3 TP.</li>
</ul>


Likely new 4G restrictions will delay Huawei’s ability to launch mid-range offerings at volume. Xiaomi stands to gain 1.2ppts of share in 2024 vs. our prior forecast. 
However, new limits are long-term negative, as it (1) raises the chance for cascading limits on China 3Cs; (2)  triggers reduced 3C electronics demand; (3) weaker industry electronics demand.
The impact of the latest set of restrictions will likely prove net negative, in our view, as a result we re-iterate our SELL rating and HK$7.3 TP.


Xiaomi(1810.HK): Huawei’s Restrictions (Another) Signal of More to Come

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Cm Bank, Baba, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Cm Bank, Baba, Wuxi Apptec.


HK Short Interest Weekly: CMB, Baba, Wuxi Apptec

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.
HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Hesai Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Lot of Potential

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> , a global leader in LiDAR technology for autonomous driving and ADAS, filed for a $100M placeholder IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the offering.</li>
<li>The company’s last round was a $70M Series D+ at a $3B pre-money valuation, implying EV/LTM Rev multiple of 19x today, a significant premium to comparable companies in the space.</li>
<li>We remain cautious about buying into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a>  IPO due to rich valuation, negative free cash flows, loss-making business, intense competition, and developments in alternative technologies.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) , a global leader in LiDAR technology for autonomous driving and ADAS, filed for a $100M placeholder IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the offering.
The company’s last round was a $70M Series D+ at a $3B pre-money valuation, implying EV/LTM Rev multiple of 19x today, a significant premium to comparable companies in the space.
We remain cautious about buying into the Hesai Group (HSAI US)  IPO due to rich valuation, negative free cash flows, loss-making business, intense competition, and developments in alternative technologies.


Hesai Group IPO Preview: Will Rich Valuation Worry Long-Term Investors?

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March 2023.
According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Xiaomi(1810.HK): Huawei’s Restrictions (Another) Signal of More to Come

Likely new 4G restrictions will delay Huawei’s ability to launch mid-range offerings at volume. The impact will likely prove net negative, we re...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Short Interest Weekly: CMB, Baba, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 20th and highlight short interest changes in CMB, Baba, Wuxi Apptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hesai Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Lot of Potential

Hesai Group (HSAI US), a China based Lidar solutions provider, is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we will...

Sumeet Singh

Hesai Group IPO Preview: Will Rich Valuation Worry Long-Term Investors?

We remain very cautious about buying into the upcoming Hesai Group IPO and believe the stock may present investors with a better entry point later...

Andrei Zakharov

Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

I see Tencent Music Entertainment (1698 HK) and Weibo Corp (9898 HK) as ADDs and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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