Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The outlook for factory automation is improving with inventory clearance, the upturn in the semiconductor industry and an AI-enhanced response to the labor shortage.</li>
<li>Yaskawa's margins should continue to rise with renewed growth in Robotics, efficiency gains and an upgraded product line. </li>
<li>Valuation stretched at 30x EPS guidance for FY Feb-25, but current weakness looks like a long term buying opportunity.</li>
</ul>


The outlook for factory automation is improving with inventory clearance, the upturn in the semiconductor industry and an AI-enhanced response to the labor shortage.
Yaskawa's margins should continue to rise with renewed growth in Robotics, efficiency gains and an upgraded product line. 
Valuation stretched at 30x EPS guidance for FY Feb-25, but current weakness looks like a long term buying opportunity.


Yaskawa (6506 JP): Start of a New Factory Automation Growth Cycle

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.


Doosan Robotics IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.</li>
<li>The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.</li>
<li>Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.</li>
</ul>



Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.
The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.
Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.</li>
<li>Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.</li>
<li>US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.</li>
</ul>


Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.
Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.
US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

<ul>
<li>Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.</li>
<li>ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.</li>
<li>Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? </li>
</ul>


Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.
ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.
Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? 


Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Japan

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

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Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)

Yaskawa (6506 JP): Start of a New Factory Automation Growth Cycle

Long-term buy with share price down 10% in the past month as orders bottom out. Robotics looking up with inventory cleared and need for automation...

Scott Foster

Doosan Robotics IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.

Ethan Aw

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yaskawa (6506 JP): Start of a New Factory Automation Growth Cycle

Long-term buy with share price down 10% in the past month as orders bottom out. Robotics looking up with inventory cleared and need for automation...

Scott Foster

Doosan Robotics IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.

Ethan Aw

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

​US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...