Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.</li>
<li>Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.</li>
<li>As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective</li>
</ul>


It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.
Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.
As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective


Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15302:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK)</a> specialises in the manufacturing of automated testing equipment (ATE segment) and the provision of factory automated solutions (FAS segment). </li>
<li>Pentamaster's solid track record, exposure to structural trends (electric vehicles), profitability, cash generation and healthy balance sheet are attractive. The shares are up 12.9% YTD.</li>
<li>However, the shares reflect this story and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be buyers of any prolonged weakness.</li>
</ul>



Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK) specialises in the manufacturing of automated testing equipment (ATE segment) and the provision of factory automated solutions (FAS segment). 
Pentamaster's solid track record, exposure to structural trends (electric vehicles), profitability, cash generation and healthy balance sheet are attractive. The shares are up 12.9% YTD.
However, the shares reflect this story and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be buyers of any prolonged weakness.


Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK): Good Story, at What Price?

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices</li>
<li>DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX positive on day, +2.5%WoW; SOX +5.4%WoW;  PCE Inflation sets stage for benign Fed; INTEL, KLC puts damper on tech party; TELSA delivers again; AMEX not seeing consumer weakness; 
JAPAN. NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; USDJPY 129.88; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.;  Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes prices
DAILY. NUGGETS. Stealth Immigration - Foreigner workers in Japan hit all time high 1.82 million/2.7% of labour force. Clear policy on Immigration needed to help secure Japan's  future. 


Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Rallies as Earnings take centre stage; Telsa rips as Musk see 2m in Sales; Auto Semis in Play as STMicro beats - lifts sector; Seagate at turning point</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY Steady at 130.22; Baton gets passed at Toyota; Double D/G of Shippers downgrade to Sell ; EARNINGS TODAY: All about Fanuc</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Toyota - End of an Era, and the start of another. We expect new CEO Sato to accelerate the EV shift !</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Rallies as Earnings take centre stage; Telsa rips as Musk see 2m in Sales; Auto Semis in Play as STMicro beats - lifts sector; Seagate at turning point
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY Steady at 130.22; Baton gets passed at Toyota; Double D/G of Shippers downgrade to Sell ; EARNINGS TODAY: All about Fanuc
DAILY NUGGET. Toyota - End of an Era, and the start of another. We expect new CEO Sato to accelerate the EV shift !


Good Morning Japan |Earnings Bonanaza! ; Tesla Rips; AutoSemis in Play;Toyoda @Toyota Passes Baton

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Nidec has become an auto parts and factory automation company and should be valued as such. At 24x EPS guidance for FY Mar-23, the shares do not look particularly cheap.</li>
<li>1H results were good, but heavy up-front investment in e-axle traction motor systems for electric vehicles points to deferred gratification for shareholders. </li>
<li>Recession is starting to bite, the Yen is up and Japanese interest rates have only started to rise. Be careful when buying for long-term growth.</li>
</ul>


Nidec has become an auto parts and factory automation company and should be valued as such. At 24x EPS guidance for FY Mar-23, the shares do not look particularly cheap.
1H results were good, but heavy up-front investment in e-axle traction motor systems for electric vehicles points to deferred gratification for shareholders. 
Recession is starting to bite, the Yen is up and Japanese interest rates have only started to rise. Be careful when buying for long-term growth.


Japan

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

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Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK): Good Story, at What Price?

The shares have had a strong run and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be...

Arun George

Good Morning Japan |SPX Break Out In Sight ! ; PCE Inflation Delivers; Fed +25bps ? ; Awful INTEL

NKY Futs vs Cash +0.1%; Tokyo Dec CPI highest since 1981; GS sees highest base pay hike in decades.; Fanuc 3Q beats on Robots; Sagawa hikes...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Earnings Bonanaza! ; Tesla Rips; AutoSemis in Play;Toyoda @Toyota Passes Baton

JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; Baton gets passed at Toyota; Double D/G of Shippers downgrade to Sell ; EARNINGS TODAY: All about Fanuc.

Mark Chadwick

Nidec (6594 JP): New Valuation Benchmark

It is fashionable to criticize Nidec's business model, but valuation compression is the greater risk. Japanese interest rates have started to rise...

Scott Foster

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