IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> at JPY11,000 per share, an 18.9% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The offer is preconditioned on several regulatory approvals. It is scheduled to start on 4 April, even if the Board does not recommend it. </li>
<li>The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer. </li>
</ul>



Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) at JPY11,000 per share, an 18.9% premium to the last close.
The offer is preconditioned on several regulatory approvals. It is scheduled to start on 4 April, even if the Board does not recommend it. 
The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer. 


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec’s (6594 JP) Hostile Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY11,000

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.</li>
<li>Following the rally in the stock, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.</li>
<li>The increase in cumulative excess volume in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.</li>
</ul>



Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.
Following the rally in the stock, Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.
The increase in cumulative excess volume in Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.


Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chinese home appliance maker Midea has announced the terms for its IPO. The company plans to raise $3.46bn at an indicative price range of HK$52.0-54.8 per share.</li>
<li>The company has a diversified product portfolio, well-balanced exposure to domestic as well as overseas markets and a growing robotics business.</li>
<li>As we expected, the HK offering is priced at around 25% discount to it’s A-shares and our analysis suggests that Midea’s HK offering is priced attractively. </li>
</ul>


Chinese home appliance maker Midea has announced the terms for its IPO. The company plans to raise $3.46bn at an indicative price range of HK$52.0-54.8 per share.
The company has a diversified product portfolio, well-balanced exposure to domestic as well as overseas markets and a growing robotics business.
As we expected, the HK offering is priced at around 25% discount to it’s A-shares and our analysis suggests that Midea’s HK offering is priced attractively. 


<ul>
<li>Chinese appliance maker Midea’s application to list its shares on the HKEx has been approved and the company plans to list up to 10% of its shares to raise $4bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>  has a diversified product portfolio,  well-balanced exposure to domestic as well as overseas markets and M&amp;A’s that have helped significantly grow its business.</li>
<li>Our analysis on previous secondary listings of Chinese-listed companies on HKEx shows that the HK listings were priced at a significant discount to their A-Shares.</li>
</ul>


Chinese appliance maker Midea’s application to list its shares on the HKEx has been approved and the company plans to list up to 10% of its shares to raise $4bn.

Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)  has a diversified product portfolio,  well-balanced exposure to domestic as well as overseas markets and M&amp;A’s that have helped significantly grow its business.
Our analysis on previous secondary listings of Chinese-listed companies on HKEx shows that the HK listings were priced at a significant discount to their A-Shares.


Midea: Thoughts on HK Listing and Valuation

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Oct 23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> raised around US$318m through its Korean IPO, after pricing the IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.</li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>


In Oct 23, Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m through its Korean IPO, after pricing the IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.
In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.


2024 High Conviction - Doosan Robotics - Levitating

Japan

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

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Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec’s (6594 JP) Hostile Preconditional Tender Offer at JPY11,000

The Board has three options: engage to facilitate a friendly offer, find a white knight bidder and launch an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer.

Arun George

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

The increased market cap could lead to Fujikura being added to passive portfolios at the end of Nov. Positioning in the stock is larger than in...

Brian Freitas

Midea HK Listing: Valuation Insights

As per news media outlets, Midea's HK listing will be priced at the top of the indicative IPO price range and due to strong demand (books are...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Midea: Thoughts on HK Listing and Valuation

As per news media, Midea plans to raise $4bn by listing up to 10% of shares. Midea has a diversified product portfolio and a well-balanced exposure...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

2024 High Conviction - Doosan Robotics - Levitating

In Oct 23, Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m through its Korean IPO, after pricing the IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000...

Ethan Aw

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