Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The prolonged interest rate upcycle and USD appreciation pose downside risks to global oil demand and crude oil prices.</li><li>Moreover, the initiation of new refining capacity is pressuring energy stock prices, especially those in the refinery sector.</li><li>Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E. </li></ul>

The prolonged interest rate upcycle and USD appreciation pose downside risks to global oil demand and crude oil prices.Moreover, the initiation of new refining capacity is pressuring energy stock prices, especially those in the refinery sector.Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E. 

Energy (Upstream-Downstream) - Weak 2Q24E Earnings for Refineries

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.</li>
<li>Although 80% of the 3-month reference period is now complete, it is still possible for the rankings to change.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.
Although 80% of the 3-month reference period is now complete, it is still possible for the rankings to change.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: BANPU Vs SAWAD Has to Be Monitored Closely

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 255% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 30%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 255% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 30%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 187% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 78%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 187% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 78%


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>PTTEP is a cyclical play whose share price has a strong correlation with crude oil prices at 80%.</li><li>The tensions in the Middle East could pose significant risks to oil supply and the share price should the situation escalate into a regional war.</li><li>Our valuation metrics suggest that the stock is attractive in terms of the current valuation, amid flat EPS growth in 2024- 26E, with limited upside in regard to the tactical risk.</li></ul>

PTTEP is a cyclical play whose share price has a strong correlation with crude oil prices at 80%.The tensions in the Middle East could pose significant risks to oil supply and the share price should the situation escalate into a regional war.Our valuation metrics suggest that the stock is attractive in terms of the current valuation, amid flat EPS growth in 2024- 26E, with limited upside in regard to the tactical risk.

Ptt Exploration and Production -In-Line NP in 1Q24 and Stronger Momentum in 2Q24E

Thailand

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited explores for crude oil and natural gas, develops fields for production, and produces oil and natural gas. The Company is a subsidiary of the Petroleum Authority of Thailand.

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PTT E&P (PTTEP TB)

Energy (Upstream-Downstream) - Weak 2Q24E Earnings for Refineries

Refinery stock prices have already reflected weaker refining margins and operating performance trends anticipated for 2Q24E.

Krungthai XSpring

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: BANPU Vs SAWAD Has to Be Monitored Closely

After considering the recent methodology changes (relaxing the liquidity criteria), we believe BJC will be added in June 2024 and that could cause...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 47

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 45

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Ptt Exploration and Production -In-Line NP in 1Q24 and Stronger Momentum in 2Q24E

The tensions in the Middle East could pose significant risks to oil supply and the share price should the situation escalate into a regional war.

Krungthai XSpring

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