Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>On Friday 22 August, the Hang Seng Index team announced the changes to the Hang Seng Technology Index for the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
<li>Team Quiddity had one low conviction ADD/DEL pair "predicted" but there were no name changes announced. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is a big FAF upweight, as expected. There are other small changes and big capping/re-capping moves. We see US$3.9bn to trade.</li>
</ul>


On Friday 22 August, the Hang Seng Index team announced the changes to the Hang Seng Technology Index for the September 2025 rebalance.
Team Quiddity had one low conviction ADD/DEL pair "predicted" but there were no name changes announced. 

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is a big FAF upweight, as expected. There are other small changes and big capping/re-capping moves. We see US$3.9bn to trade.


[Quiddity Index] Sep25 HSTECH Review Announced; No Name Changes, Big Flows

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying much more limited. Big ETF buying turned into ETF selling and tech buying, as suggested. </li>
<li>Last week's reco <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> was the top net buy in SOUTHBOUND this past week, up 2.2%, outperforming major HK benchmarks.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying much more limited. Big ETF buying turned into ETF selling and tech buying, as suggested. 
Last week's reco Tencent (700 HK) was the top net buy in SOUTHBOUND this past week, up 2.2%, outperforming major HK benchmarks.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Aug 2025); Big Swing Out of ETFs Into Tech Realised

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in September. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$31.1bn (US$4bn). There is plenty to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in September. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$31.1bn (US$4bn). There is plenty to buy in Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), BYD (1211 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK). 
Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$4bn Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

[Quiddity Index] Sep25 HSTECH Review Announced; No Name Changes, Big Flows

The Hang Seng Technology Index review was announced on 22 August after the close. No name changes but nearly $3.9bn to trade with capping, re...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Aug 2025); Big Swing Out of ETFs Into Tech Realised

SOUTHBOUND volumes very big at US$20bn a day. NET buying limited at US$400mm a day average. Hang Seng Rebals announced, as expected. Horizon...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$4bn Trade

No constituent changes, but some large FAF/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% and round-trip trade is US$4bn. Large inflows for...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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