External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Huya delivered upbeat 4Q22 results (with in-line rev and better margin), but 1Q23E guidance muted on seasonality and epidemic (forecasting rev -13% QoQ).</li><li>We suggest to look beyond soft 1Q23E, and expect livestreaming to resume positive growth in 2H23E (forecasting -5% YoY in FY23E), backed by: 1) a rebase after the regulatory change in livestreaming in June last year; 2) macro recovery after China’s reopening; and 3) new blockbuster game launch.</li><li>With continuous cost control and license rearrangement, we keep positive on its margin improvement ahead, forecasting its net loss to narrow to RMB146mn in FY23E and expect to turn profitability at group level in FY24E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Huya delivered upbeat 4Q22 results (with in-line rev and better margin), but 1Q23E guidance muted on seasonality and epidemic (forecasting rev -13% QoQ).We suggest to look beyond soft 1Q23E, and expect livestreaming to resume positive growth in 2H23E (forecasting -5% YoY in FY23E), backed by: 1) a rebase after the regulatory change in livestreaming in June last year; 2) macro recovery after China’s reopening; and 3) new blockbuster game launch.With continuous cost control and license rearrangement, we keep positive on its margin improvement ahead, forecasting its net loss to narrow to RMB146mn in FY23E and expect to turn profitability at group level in FY24E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Huya Inc. (HUYA US) – Moving into mild recovery in 2H23E

<ul><li>We expect Huya to deliver upbeat margin in 4Q22E, despite muted livestreaming disrupted by epidemic outbreak which is well priced in.</li><li>We suggest to look beyond soft 1Q23E owing to weak seasonality &amp; epidemic, and expect 2H23E livestreaming to resume positive growth, backed by: 1) a rebase after the regulatory change in livestreaming in June last year; 2) macro recovery after reopening; and 3) new blockbuster game launch.</li><li>After rearrangement of LoL tournament licensing in Jan 2023, we are more positive on Huya’s margin expansion ahead (forecasting narrowing loss in FY23E and group profit in FY24E). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Huya to deliver upbeat margin in 4Q22E, despite muted livestreaming disrupted by epidemic outbreak which is well priced in.We suggest to look beyond soft 1Q23E owing to weak seasonality &amp; epidemic, and expect 2H23E livestreaming to resume positive growth, backed by: 1) a rebase after the regulatory change in livestreaming in June last year; 2) macro recovery after reopening; and 3) new blockbuster game launch.After rearrangement of LoL tournament licensing in Jan 2023, we are more positive on Huya’s margin expansion ahead (forecasting narrowing loss in FY23E and group profit in FY24E). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HUYA (HUYA US) – Clear Margin Improvement

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iqiyi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26755:1" rel="noopener">IQIYI Inc (IQ US)</a> aims to raise net proceeds of US$442.3 million through the placement of 76.5 million ADS at US$5.90 per ADS.</li>
<li>The net proceeds will be used for working capital purposes, including serving its existing debt obligations. The placement closes on 19 January. </li>
<li>The placement price is fair vs peers and is an opportunity to play iQiyi’s expected topline recovery which is supported by ongoing margin improvement and declining cash burn. </li>
</ul>



IQIYI Inc (IQ US) aims to raise net proceeds of US$442.3 million through the placement of 76.5 million ADS at US$5.90 per ADS.
The net proceeds will be used for working capital purposes, including serving its existing debt obligations. The placement closes on 19 January. 
The placement price is fair vs peers and is an opportunity to play iQiyi’s expected topline recovery which is supported by ongoing margin improvement and declining cash burn. 


IQIYI (IQ US) Placement: Fair Price for a Potential but Risky Recovery Play

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>IQIYI aims to raise around US$500m via a follow-on ADS offering.</li>
<li>While the company hasn’t stated its use of proceeds, it will probably use most of it to redeem convertible notes</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


IQIYI aims to raise around US$500m via a follow-on ADS offering.
While the company hasn’t stated its use of proceeds, it will probably use most of it to redeem convertible notes
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.


IQIYI Follow-On Offering - Might Be Expected but Its Track Record Is...

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a>  aims to raise around US$400m via a follow-on ADS offering.</li>
<li>The company plans to use most of the proceeds to redeem its 2026 notes.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Bilibili Inc (BILI US)  aims to raise around US$400m via a follow-on ADS offering.
The company plans to use most of the proceeds to redeem its 2026 notes.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.


Bilibili Follow-On Offering - Seems Opportunistic

United States

HUYA Inc. operates as a game live streaming platform. The Company offers interactive video broadcast services including e-sports, music, reality show, entertainment genres, talent shows, and anime and outdoor activities. HUYA serves customers in China.

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HUYA (HUYA US)

Huya Inc. (HUYA US) – Moving into mild recovery in 2H23E

Huya delivered upbeat 4Q22 results (with in-line rev and better margin), but 1Q23E guidance muted on seasonality and epidemic (forecasting rev -13%...

CMB International

HUYA (HUYA US) – Clear Margin Improvement

We expect Huya to deliver upbeat margin in 4Q22E, despite muted livestreaming disrupted by epidemic outbreak which is well priced in.

CMB International

IQIYI (IQ US) Placement: Fair Price for a Potential but Risky Recovery Play

The placement price is fair vs peers and is an opportunity to play iQiyi’s expected topline recovery which is supported by ongoing margin...

Arun George

IQIYI Follow-On Offering - Might Be Expected but Its Track Record Is...

iQIYI aims to raise around US$500m via a follow-on ADS offering. While the deal might be expected, the stock's longer term track record doesn't...

Sumeet Singh

Bilibili Follow-On Offering - Seems Opportunistic

Bilibili Inc (BILI US) aims to raise around US$400m via a follow-on ADS offering. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sumeet Singh

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