HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Rmb6trn of the new debt swap quota may disappoint the market given the lack of one-time direct stimulus. However, the underlying implications should not be overlooked.</li>
<li>A better balance sheet and savings in interest expenses will free up the resources of local governments, benefiting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-environment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15946:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Environment (257 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Shanghai has immediately rolled out consumption coupon distribution, which is positive for companies in the restaurant, travel, movies, and sports sectors. </li>
</ul>


The Rmb6trn of the new debt swap quota may disappoint the market given the lack of one-time direct stimulus. However, the underlying implications should not be overlooked.
A better balance sheet and savings in interest expenses will free up the resources of local governments, benefiting China Communications Construction (1800 HK) and China Everbright Environment (257 HK). 
Shanghai has immediately rolled out consumption coupon distribution, which is positive for companies in the restaurant, travel, movies, and sports sectors. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Ideas on China's Debt Swap Plan

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, Minimax, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Zijin Gold Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, Minimax, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Zijin Gold Intl.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 21st): Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Minimax, Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, AIA, China Life, Beone Medicines, Xiaomi, Wuxi Bio.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Minimax, Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, AIA, China Life, Beone Medicines, Xiaomi, Wuxi Bio.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 14th): Minimax, Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, AIA, China Life, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>Various figures for the Chinese New Year holidays suggested that the domestic tourism market is lukewarm in 2022. However, there are evidences that high-end consumption is better than low-end.</li>
<li>Weak cross-province tourism and low-end spending are likely negative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maoyan-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27451:1" rel="noopener">Maoyan Entertainment (1896 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-pictures-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20724:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Pictures (1060 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>Good duty-free sales and high-end spending are beneficial to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free Corp (601888 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:433:1" rel="noopener">Fosun International (656 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Various figures for the Chinese New Year holidays suggested that the domestic tourism market is lukewarm in 2022. However, there are evidences that high-end consumption is better than low-end.
Weak cross-province tourism and low-end spending are likely negative to China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), Maoyan Entertainment (1896 HK), Alibaba Pictures (1060 HK) and IMAX China Holding (1970 HK).  
Good duty-free sales and high-end spending are beneficial to CTG Duty Free Corp (601888 CH), Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), Fosun International (656 HK) and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK). 


2022 Chinese New Year Holidays - Some Winners and Losers

China

Maoyan Entertainment operates a leading technology-driven platform in China's entertainment industry. It offers online movie and entertainment event ticketing, entertainment content services including distribution and production, and advertising services. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Maoyan Entertainment (1896 HK)

China & HK Strategy: Stock Ideas on China's Debt Swap Plan

China's new debt swap quota will benefit local governments and infrastructure companies. Shanghai's consumption coupon distribution is positive for...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 21st): Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 14th): Minimax, Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, AIA, China Life, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Minimax, Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, AIA, China Life,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2022 Chinese New Year Holidays - Some Winners and Losers

2022 Chinese New Year figures showed marginal decline domestic tourists, and pointed to better high-end consumption performance than low-end. We...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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