Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Around a third of the way though the review period, there could be 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 2.5-16 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions over the last few months and there could be more to go with short selling banned.</li>
</ul>


Around a third of the way though the review period, there could be 4 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 2.5-16 days of ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions over the last few months and there could be more to go with short selling banned.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Likely in December

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. </li>
<li>In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.</li>
<li>NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). </li>
</ul>


On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 


What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150440" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150558" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a>.
</li>
<li>We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Caseand Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case.

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanil-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:150440" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.
In Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a>, a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.    </li>
<li>The IPO is a pure primary raise of 7.6 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW24,000-30,000. Book building will run from 9 to 15 July.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin performance and modest leverage.</li>
</ul>



Sanil Electric (062040 KS), a Korean industrial transformer manufacturer, is seeking to raise up to US$165 million.    
The IPO is a pure primary raise of 7.6 million shares at an IPO price range of KRW24,000-30,000. Book building will run from 9 to 15 July.
The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin performance and modest leverage.


South Korea

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation manufactures electrical power equipment. The Company produces and sells transformers, generators, and other related products. Hyosung Heavy Industries markets its products worldwide.

Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

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Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp (298040 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Likely in December

There could be 4 changes for the KOSPI200 in December. The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on...

Brian Freitas

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies...

Douglas Kim

Sanil Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

We examine the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Sanil is fully valued in the IPO price range. We would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Sanil Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, high customer concentration, mid-tier revenue growth and mid-tier FCF margin compared to peers.

Arun George

Sanil Electric IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on US-led rapid revenue growth, high barriers to entry, good revenue visibility, improving margins, top-quartile margin...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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