Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/CRvUL" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Cromwell Prop (CMW AU): ESR Exit Post-Privatization?</a>,  after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a> acquired ARA Asset Management in 2021, it said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cromwell-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2780:1" rel="noopener">Cromwell Property (CMW AU)</a> was a non-core holding.</li>
<li>After ESR announced a privatisation by Warburg/Starwood on the 4th December 2024, I mused whether this would accelerate the sale as part of a wider strategic review. </li>
<li>Two months ago, ESR initiated a block trade for part of its 31% stake in Cromwell. Now Brookfield is seeking ESR's remaining 19.9% stake @A$0.38/share. Subject to FIRB approval.
</li>
</ul>


As discussed in Cromwell Prop (CMW AU): ESR Exit Post-Privatization?,  after ESR (1821 HK) acquired ARA Asset Management in 2021, it said Cromwell Property (CMW AU) was a non-core holding.
After ESR announced a privatisation by Warburg/Starwood on the 4th December 2024, I mused whether this would accelerate the sale as part of a wider strategic review. 
Two months ago, ESR initiated a block trade for part of its 31% stake in Cromwell. Now Brookfield is seeking ESR's remaining 19.9% stake @A$0.38/share. Subject to FIRB approval.



Cromwell Prop (CMW AU): Brookfield's Stake Foreshadows A Full Takeover

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The Overnight Report: FOMO Is Back (Nvidia Too)

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/rCoay" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Webjet (WJL AU): Undisclosed Buyer Buying</a>, I addressed the rumours that an undisclosed buyer with ~5% was seeking to add an additional 5% (19.6mn shares).</li>
<li>On the 12th May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helloworld-travel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16134:1" rel="noopener">Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU)</a> emerged with a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250512/pdf/06jmy55csx8lvm.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5.015% stake</a>. The same day, BGH said it had <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250512/pdf/06jnjftqrg7vpw.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">10.76%</a>. BGH followed with a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250513/pdf/06jpsydh9mwsff.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A$0.80/share NBIO</a>.</li>
<li>BGH wants a controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45177:1" rel="noopener">Webjet (WJL AU)</a>, and potentially maintaining the listing; suggesting an off-market Offer, with say, a 50% acceptance hurdle being one possibility. </li>
</ul>


In Webjet (WJL AU): Undisclosed Buyer Buying, I addressed the rumours that an undisclosed buyer with ~5% was seeking to add an additional 5% (19.6mn shares).
On the 12th May, Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU) emerged with a 5.015% stake. The same day, BGH said it had 10.76%. BGH followed with a A$0.80/share NBIO.
BGH wants a controlling stake in Webjet (WJL AU), and potentially maintaining the listing; suggesting an off-market Offer, with say, a 50% acceptance hurdle being one possibility. 


Webjet (WJL AU) In Play: BGH/Weiss' NBIO And Helloworld's Substantial Stake

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th December, Gordan Tang (&amp; his wife Celine) acquired a 2.14% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a>, lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.</li>
<li>This had all the hallmarks of a technical Offer. The Offer price was S$1.16/share compared to the S$1.17/share undisturbed price. The IFA opined the Offer was not fair nor reasonable. </li>
<li>The Tangs have now bumped to S$1.19/share. Terms are not final. The IFA viewpoint won't budge. This is an opportunistic move from the Tangs. But why not roll the dice?</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th December, Gordan Tang (&amp; his wife Celine) acquired a 2.14% stake in Suntec REIT (SUN SP), lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.
This had all the hallmarks of a technical Offer. The Offer price was S$1.16/share compared to the S$1.17/share undisturbed price. The IFA opined the Offer was not fair nor reasonable. 
The Tangs have now bumped to S$1.19/share. Terms are not final. The IFA viewpoint won't budge. This is an opportunistic move from the Tangs. But why not roll the dice?


Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang's Curious Bump

Australia

Cromwell Property Group is a property and funds manager. The Company, through its subsidiary, provides funds management, property transactions, property and facilities management, finance, compliance, debenture issues, and debt management.

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Cromwell Property (CMW AU)

Cromwell Prop (CMW AU): Brookfield's Stake Foreshadows A Full Takeover

Brookfield won't stop at 19.9%. Precedent transactions for A-REITs that focus on office properties were ~NTA.CMW's recent NTA was A$0.57/share....

David Blennerhassett

oOh!Media Ltd - The Overnight Report: Long-End Yields Rising

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

The Overnight Report: FOMO Is Back (Nvidia Too)

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Webjet (WJL AU) In Play: BGH/Weiss' NBIO And Helloworld's Substantial Stake

Trading 12.5% through terms; and ~58% above the undisturbed price. BGH/Weiss have the clout to bid higher. But unless your bent is illiquid, non...

David Blennerhassett

Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang's Curious Bump

After the Tangs bumped to S$1.19/share on the 8th January, the IFA, with a fair value range of S$2.07-S$2.26, concluded on the 17th January that...

David Blennerhassett

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