Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>INTC +16% on the potential for a breakup should see TEL, Lasertec and Ibiden higher.</li>
<li>Micron's new SSD' offering helping memory plays up, possibly lifting Micronics even more.</li>
<li>Kokusai Electric's short interest continues to grow despite the on going squeeze...now &gt;10 dtc.</li>
</ul>


INTC +16% on the potential for a breakup should see TEL, Lasertec and Ibiden higher.
Micron's new SSD' offering helping memory plays up, possibly lifting Micronics even more.
Kokusai Electric's short interest continues to grow despite the on going squeeze...now &gt;10 dtc.


Japan Morning Connection: SPX at the ATH's and Semi-Cap Plays Looking Strong to Start

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Q424 revenues for the top 5 WFE players amounted to $28.7 billion, up 10% QoQ and up 21.7% YoY and an all time record high quarterly revenue for the segment</li>
<li>For the full year 2024, revenues amounted to $99.74 billion, up 7% sequentially, and slightly exceeding our forecasted 5% growth.</li>
<li>WFE growth in 2025 will be similar to 2024, with slowing China spending coupled with historic over capacity across the industry countering anticipated AI &amp; technology transition related increases </li>
</ul>


Q424 revenues for the top 5 WFE players amounted to $28.7 billion, up 10% QoQ and up 21.7% YoY and an all time record high quarterly revenue for the segment
For the full year 2024, revenues amounted to $99.74 billion, up 7% sequentially, and slightly exceeding our forecasted 5% growth.
WFE growth in 2025 will be similar to 2024, with slowing China spending coupled with historic over capacity across the industry countering anticipated AI &amp; technology transition related increases 


Semi WFE Revenues Increase ~7% YoY In 2024. 2025 Looks Much The Same. So, Where's The AI Effect?

<ul>
<li>Meta on a 20-day winning steak with humanoid robots into the mix.</li>
<li>Yakult's spike on Friday and subsequent drop may point to more upside given big shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Olympus facing a much harsher reality in China than management were initially suggesting.</li>
</ul>


Meta on a 20-day winning steak with humanoid robots into the mix.
Yakult's spike on Friday and subsequent drop may point to more upside given big shareholder returns.
Olympus facing a much harsher reality in China than management were initially suggesting.


Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Pricing in Friday Sets Soft Tone for JP SPE

<ul>
<li>Coherent, SMCI, Entegris all posting solid gains, while Skyworks priced in its poor outlook for its Apple biz.</li>
<li>Monolithic as much as +19% post market setting a better tone for power/analog semi related. Renesas +12.6% yesterday also.</li>
<li>Tokyo Electron numbers mixed but positive overall and any weakness at the open a good chance for dip buying.</li>
</ul>


Coherent, SMCI, Entegris all posting solid gains, while Skyworks priced in its poor outlook for its Apple biz.
Monolithic as much as +19% post market setting a better tone for power/analog semi related. Renesas +12.6% yesterday also.
Tokyo Electron numbers mixed but positive overall and any weakness at the open a good chance for dip buying.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

<ul>
<li>Lam Research and KLA carrying on from ASML beat earlier in the week: positive for JP SPE.</li>
<li>Intel trading better after hours with earnings not a horrible as feared may help JP suppliers.</li>
<li>IBM beat on its transition to services and AI offerings should help JP IT such as Fujitsu, as well as NEC and NRI who also reported yesterday.</li>
</ul>


Lam Research and KLA carrying on from ASML beat earlier in the week: positive for JP SPE.
Intel trading better after hours with earnings not a horrible as feared may help JP suppliers.
IBM beat on its transition to services and AI offerings should help JP IT such as Fujitsu, as well as NEC and NRI who also reported yesterday.


Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: SPX at the ATH's and Semi-Cap Plays Looking Strong to Start

INTC +16% on potential for breakup should send JP suppliers higher, Micronics may get a further lift, Kokusai Electric short interest ontinues to...

Andrew Jackson

Semi WFE Revenues Increase ~7% YoY In 2024. 2025 Looks Much The Same. So, Where's The AI Effect?

Semi WFE growth in 2025 will be similar to 2024, with slowing China spending coupled with historic over capacity across the industry countering...

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Pricing in Friday Sets Soft Tone for JP SPE

Meta continues winning streak with announcment of AI humanoid robots, Yakult's might have room for upside, and Olympus faces a harsher reality in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

Skyworks priced in poor outlook for its Apple business. Market sets a better tone for power/anolog semi related. Any weakness in Tokyo Electron a...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: SPX at the ATH's and Semi-Cap Plays Looking Strong to Start

INTC +16% on potential for breakup should send JP suppliers higher, Micronics may get a further lift, Kokusai Electric short interest ontinues to...

Andrew Jackson

Semi WFE Revenues Increase ~7% YoY In 2024. 2025 Looks Much The Same. So, Where's The AI Effect?

Semi WFE growth in 2025 will be similar to 2024, with slowing China spending coupled with historic over capacity across the industry countering...

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: AMAT Pricing in Friday Sets Soft Tone for JP SPE

​Meta continues winning streak with announcment of AI humanoid robots, Yakult's might have room for upside, and Olympus faces a harsher reality in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

Skyworks priced in poor outlook for its Apple business. Market sets a better tone for power/anolog semi related. Any weakness in Tokyo Electron a...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Semi Rebound with Good Earnings from Semi-Cap Majors

​Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...

Andrew Jackson

Meta continues winning streak with announcment of AI humanoid robots, Yakult's might have room for upside, and Olympus faces a harsher reality in...

Positive earnings reports from Lam Research and KLA bode well for JP SPE. Intel earnings better than feared may help JP suppliers. IBM beat may...