Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Remain BULLISH <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) </a> with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a> over-extend their hand.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a> has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.</li>
</ul>


Remain BULLISH Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)  with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.

Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng andYeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP) over-extend their hand.

Nec Networks (1973 JP) has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>’s shares surged 19.5% on speculation that billionaire Philip Ng will launch a takeover offer due to recent share purchases.  </li>
<li>Philip Ng’s stakebuilding suggests three potential outcomes. The likely near-term outcome is that he continues to nudge up his stake and potentially seek Board representation.</li>
<li>Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as Vitasoy’s valuation looked frothy at the last close.  </li>
</ul>



Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)’s shares surged 19.5% on speculation that billionaire Philip Ng will launch a takeover offer due to recent share purchases.  
Philip Ng’s stakebuilding suggests three potential outcomes. The likely near-term outcome is that he continues to nudge up his stake and potentially seek Board representation.
Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as Vitasoy’s valuation looked frothy at the last close.  


Vitasoy (345 HK): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Mounts

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, beverage maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1126/2024112600161.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a 1H25E (Mar Y/E) net profit of HK$171mn, a 4.8% gain yoy. An interim dividend of HK$0.04/share (HK$0.014/share in 1H24), was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1126/2024112600167.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">declared</a>.</li>
<li>What was absent from the announcement/briefing was any comment on Philip Ng Chee-tat's and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a>'s recent buying in Vitasoy.</li>
<li>Ng, the younger brother of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-land-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17323:1" rel="noopener">Sino Land (83 HK)</a>'s chairman Robert Ng Chee-siong, indirectly holds 12.26%, up from 5.22% on the 7th October. The share price is up 104% since.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, beverage maker Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK) announced a 1H25E (Mar Y/E) net profit of HK$171mn, a 4.8% gain yoy. An interim dividend of HK$0.04/share (HK$0.014/share in 1H24), was declared.
What was absent from the announcement/briefing was any comment on Philip Ng Chee-tat's and Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)'s recent buying in Vitasoy.
Ng, the younger brother of Sino Land (83 HK)'s chairman Robert Ng Chee-siong, indirectly holds 12.26%, up from 5.22% on the 7th October. The share price is up 104% since.


Vitasoy (345 HK): Trading Rich As Ng & Yeo Hiap Seng Up Their Exposure

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.
</li>
</ul>


ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and China Feihe (6186 HK) both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.


New World Development (17 HK) announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dali-foods-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1082:1" rel="noopener">Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 23 August. The IFA considers the HK$3.75 per share offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). No independent shareholder holds a blocking stake. </li>
<li>Sector sentiment has modestly weakened. This looks done. At the last close and for the 8 September payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 34.8%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)'s scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 23 August. The IFA considers the HK$3.75 per share offer to be fair and reasonable. 
Key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). No independent shareholder holds a blocking stake. 
Sector sentiment has modestly weakened. This looks done. At the last close and for the 8 September payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 34.8%, respectively.


Dali Foods (3799 HK): Scheme Vote on 23 August

Hong Kong

Vitasoy is a leading manufacturer and distributor of plant-based food and beverages, offering products such as soy milk, other plant-based milks, juices, teas, water, and tofu. The company also operates catering services and tuck shops in Hong Kong. Vitasoy was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.

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Vitasoy (345 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Vitasoy (345 HK): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Mounts

Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as...

Arun George

Vitasoy (345 HK): Trading Rich As Ng & Yeo Hiap Seng Up Their Exposure

The share price looks to have overshot after Ng over-extended his hand. Unless you believe Ng/YHS are gearing up for a takeover of Vitasoy by the...

David Blennerhassett

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

China Feihe beat estmates for 2Q with higher profits and GW Motor substantially increased international sales of EV's. NWD will take a large asset...

David Mudd

Dali Foods (3799 HK): Scheme Vote on 23 August

Sector sentiment has modestly weakened, helping the YES vote. At the last close and for the 8 September payment, the annualised spread is 34.8%....

Arun George

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