SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$38 million.</li><li>This marked a slight reversal from the net inflow of S$384 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 14.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, DBS Group Holdings, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Genting Singapore, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Keppel DC REIT, Wilmar International and Keppel REIT.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$38 million.This marked a slight reversal from the net inflow of S$384 million observed over the five preceding sessions up to Nov 14.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Nov 22 were CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, DBS Group Holdings, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, Genting Singapore, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Keppel DC REIT, Wilmar International and Keppel REIT.

ABR Holdings managing director continues to grow interest

Singapore Telecommunications / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.</li><li>Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.</li><li>Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Low-Cost retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO (9896 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0923/2024092301478.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake</a> in supermarket chain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui (601933 CH)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI (DFI SP)</a> and two units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.</li>
<li>Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “<a href="https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/miniso-spends-us890-million-to-challenge-sams-club-in-china/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">With a brave heart, start a new world!</a>”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost retailer MINISO (9896 HK) has entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake in supermarket chain Yonghui (601933 CH) from DFI (DFI SP) and two units of JD.com (9618 HK). 
Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.
Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “With a brave heart, start a new world!”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.


DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

<ul>
<li>After publishing my insight (<a href="https://skr.ma/y1QWE" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap"</a>) last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.</li>
<li>Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>.</li>
<li>The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.</li>
</ul>


After publishing my insight (Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap") last week, my NAV calcs were called into question by some readers, when compared to street estimates.
Which is cool. I'm big enough to admit mistakes, where needed. So I've done some digging, including a back and forth with Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP).
The upshot? I have not lead you astray. You've been coming to the right place.


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

<ul>
<li>I see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>'s discount to NAV and implied stub at 12-month lows.</li>
<li>Recent interim results were okay. Stripping out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)</a>'s outperformance, the remainder of the Jardine stable delivered weaker numbers. </li>
<li>Further afield, the implied stub is marginally below the long-term average since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a> circularity was collapsed in April 2021. </li>
</ul>


I see Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)'s discount to NAV and implied stub at 12-month lows.
Recent interim results were okay. Stripping out DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)'s outperformance, the remainder of the Jardine stable delivered weaker numbers. 
Further afield, the implied stub is marginally below the long-term average since the Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP) circularity was collapsed in April 2021. 


Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap"

Singapore

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, invests in automotive, consumer finance, utilities and infrastructure, heavy equipment and mining, property, agribusiness, cement, and consumer products businesses. Jardine Cycle & Carriage serves customers in South East Asia.

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)

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Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)

ABR Holdings managing director continues to grow interest

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 15 to 21, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

DFI doesn't appear too demanding here; but has already run up ~9% on the news. I 'd get involved on any weakness. JMH does look attractive here....

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Squeezing More Life Out Of The NAV

I've bolted on US$0.5bn to NAV. That adjustment doesn't move the needle. Look to set up the stub: Long JMH, short DFI, HKL, MO & JC&C on a...

David Blennerhassett

Jardine Matheson (JM SP): Trading "Cheap"

I’ve received some feedback questioning my NAV calculations. Happy to take up the challenge and make adjustments where needed. I flesh out more...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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