Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Biotech play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a> and ~48%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a> popped recently on a reported tilt for Legend.  Neither Genscript nor Legend made exchange announcements supporting the claim. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Genscript/Legend are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Biotech play Genscript Biotech (1548 HK) and ~48%-held Legend Biotech (LEGN US) popped recently on a reported tilt for Legend.  Neither Genscript nor Legend made exchange announcements supporting the claim. 
Preceding my comments on Genscript/Legend are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Legend (LEGN US) Offer Or Not, Genscript (1548 HK) Is Attractive

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Life premiums exhibited resilience on high base in Jun and diverged amid top peers.</li><li>Ping An L&amp;H grew by 14.7% YoY in Jun (vs May: +10.4% YoY) thanks to life and health segments, which expanded +16.2%/+19.7% YoY in Jun (vs May: +10.6%/ +11.0% YoY).</li><li>We regard the premium pick-up a concomitant of the Group’s strategic initiatives on healthcare and elderly care, which have fostered new growth drivers with product mix to be further optimized. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Life premiums exhibited resilience on high base in Jun and diverged amid top peers.Ping An L&amp;H grew by 14.7% YoY in Jun (vs May: +10.4% YoY) thanks to life and health segments, which expanded +16.2%/+19.7% YoY in Jun (vs May: +10.6%/ +11.0% YoY).We regard the premium pick-up a concomitant of the Group’s strategic initiatives on healthcare and elderly care, which have fostered new growth drivers with product mix to be further optimized. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Insurance - 6M24 Monthly: Life Prints Better-Than-Expected on High Base; P&C Dragged by Auto Sales

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> are potential deletions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> are potential adds.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$950m. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 3 September.</li>
<li>There will be 1-2x ADV to buy on the adds and over 2x ADV to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics</a>. The impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime</a> is lower given the recent surge in volume.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK) are potential deletions while PICC Property &amp; Casualty (2328 HK) and New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) are potential adds.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$950m. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 3 September.
There will be 1-2x ADV to buy on the adds and over 2x ADV to sell in JD Logistics. The impact on SenseTime is lower given the recent surge in volume.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.7% as of May 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BOC, CCB, PetroChina, Zoomlion Heavy, Jiangxi Copper, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 110.7% as of May 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, financials, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BOC, CCB, PetroChina, Zoomlion Heavy, Jiangxi Copper, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 24th): BOC, CCB, PetroChina, Zoomlion Heavy, Jiangxi Copper, China Longyuan

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of May 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -7.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

China

The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited, through its subsidiaries, offers a range of property and casualty insurance products. The Company also offers asset management services for a variety of customers throughout China.

Price Gauge
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People's Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)

StubWorld: Legend (LEGN US) Offer Or Not, Genscript (1548 HK) Is Attractive

Genscript appears attractive - not just Legend's product pipeline and strong partnerships; but also Genscript's stub ops have been performing well....

David Blennerhassett

Insurance - 6M24 Monthly: Life Prints Better-Than-Expected on High Base; P&C Dragged by Auto Sales

Ping An L&H grew by 14.7% YoY in Jun (vs May: +10.4% YoY) thanks to life and health segments, which expanded +16.2%/+19.7% YoY in Jun (vs May:...

CMB International

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

We forecast two changes in September with a 1-way turnover of 1.8% resulting in a 1-way trade of HK$950m. There will be 1-2 days of ADV to trade on...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 24th): BOC, CCB, PetroChina, Zoomlion Heavy, Jiangxi Copper, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BOC, CCB, PetroChina, Zoomlion Heavy, Jiangxi Copper, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 17th): 44 Stocks at 52 Week High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, Sinopec, PetroChina, China Telecom, CICC, GWM.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)