Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Competitors tried to leverage LLM to capture Baidu's search market share;</li>
<li>JD.com is actively seeking new, post-subsidy growth drivers, the latest being Europe while Red Notes launched US expansion. Deliveroo ceded HK market to Meituan;</li>
<li>NetEase competitor announced major layoffs. Weibo disappointed in its C4Q24 earnings. Kingsoft has a winner game in pocket.</li>
</ul>


Competitors tried to leverage LLM to capture Baidu's search market share;
JD.com is actively seeking new, post-subsidy growth drivers, the latest being Europe while Red Notes launched US expansion. Deliveroo ceded HK market to Meituan;
NetEase competitor announced major layoffs. Weibo disappointed in its C4Q24 earnings. Kingsoft has a winner game in pocket.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 11/52]: Chinese Internet Making Inroads Overseas

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; </li>
<li>Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);</li>
<li>We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. </li>
</ul>


Earnings results have differed in the recently concluded C3Q24. Performance ads in home electronics, 3C, auto, entertainment and travel have benefited from recovery in consumption; 
Heading into C4Q24, we expect rebound in real estate to benefit property ads, and the continuing warm up in consumption to spread to e-commerce (apparel and cosmetics);
We expect trade-in subsidies for home electronics and electrical vehicles to renew in C1Q25 and further stimulus to encourage consumption in travel and catering to be announced. 


Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

<ul>
<li>BABA US/700 HK/WB US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US:Taobao to launch WeChat Pay support this month (+/+/-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>3690HK: Meituan Plans to Increase Marketing Investment to Support Small and Medium-sized Restaurant Businesses(+)</li>
<li>3690HK: Meituan food delivery and Meituan hotel services launch on Alipay Mini Program(+)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/700 HK/WB US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US:Taobao to launch WeChat Pay support this month (+/+/-/-/-/-)
3690HK: Meituan Plans to Increase Marketing Investment to Support Small and Medium-sized Restaurant Businesses(+)
3690HK: Meituan food delivery and Meituan hotel services launch on Alipay Mini Program(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/WB US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/3690HK/1810 HK

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/BIDU: Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI (+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: Local news said Douyin has deemphasized take out business (+)</li>
<li>PDD/4689 JP/AMZN/4385 JP/4755 JP: Data indicates that Temu is particularly popular in Japan (+/~/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/BIDU: Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI (+)
3690 HK: Local news said Douyin has deemphasized take out business (+)
PDD/4689 JP/AMZN/4385 JP/4755 JP: Data indicates that Temu is particularly popular in Japan (+/~/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

Market Intelligence, ORTEX

ORTEX Market Intel

Market Intelligence

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The week of August 17 was defined by extreme short-side stress in small caps.</li><li>ENRD saw the most violent move - short interest exploded 416% in a single week as borrow costs hit an all-time record.</li><li>Elsewhere, MAIR shorts surged 69% amid analyst target cuts, and convergence signals fired across more than two dozen names from regional banks to defence.</li></ul>

The week of August 17 was defined by extreme short-side stress in small caps.ENRD saw the most violent move - short interest exploded 416% in a single week as borrow costs hit an all-time record.Elsewhere, MAIR shorts surged 69% amid analyst target cuts, and convergence signals fired across more than two dozen names from regional banks to defence.

Short Sellers Strike: ENRD Borrow Hits 351%, MAIR Up 69%

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Weibo Corp (WB US)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 11/52]: Chinese Internet Making Inroads Overseas

Competitors target Baidu's search market, JD.com seeks new growth in Europe, Weibo disappoints in earnings, Kingsoft has successful game.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/WB US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/3690HK/1810 HK

Taobao to support WeChat Pay, Meituan increases marketing for small businesses and launches services on Alipay Mini Program.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Short Sellers Strike: ENRD Borrow Hits 351%, MAIR Up 69%

The week of August 17 was defined by extreme short-side stress in small caps. ENRD saw the most violent move - short interest exploded 416% in a...

ORTEX Market Intel

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 11/52]: Chinese Internet Making Inroads Overseas

​Competitors target Baidu's search market, JD.com seeks new growth in Europe, Weibo disappoints in earnings, Kingsoft has successful game.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stimulus Policies Are Now the Biggest Determinant of Internet Ads Performances

​C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/700 HK/WB US/PDD US/JD US/VIPS US/3690HK/1810 HK

​Taobao to support WeChat Pay, Meituan increases marketing for small businesses and launches services on Alipay Mini Program.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/1810 HK/BIDU/JD/BABA/PDD/1024 HK/3690 HK/WB/4689JP/4755JP

​Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Short Sellers Strike: ENRD Borrow Hits 351%, MAIR Up 69%

The week of August 17 was defined by extreme short-side stress in small caps. ENRD saw the most violent move - short interest exploded 416% in a...

ORTEX Market Intel

Competitors target Baidu's search market, JD.com seeks new growth in Europe, Weibo disappoints in earnings, Kingsoft has successful game.

C3Q24 earnings show ad performances are highly correlated with stimulus spending. We expect continuing stimulus to sustain the benefit and...

Taobao to support WeChat Pay, Meituan increases marketing for small businesses and launches services on Alipay Mini Program.

Google's Gemma is an important move for client-side AI; Douyin shifts focus away from takeout; and Temu gains popularity in Japan.