Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 20 December. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of A$17m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gpt-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:168:1" rel="noopener">Gpt Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/region-re-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20100:1" rel="noopener">Region RE</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scentre-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9538:1" rel="noopener">Scentre Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federation-centres" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:335:1" rel="noopener">Vicinity Centres</a>.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 20 December. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of A$17m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.
The largest inflows are in Charter Hall, Gpt Group, Dexus Property and Region RE while the largest outflows will be from Goodman Group, Scentre Group and Vicinity Centres.


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Only Float & Capping Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vcredit-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27143:1" rel="noopener">VCredit Holdings (2003 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> also in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property (DXS AU)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), and Lifestyle China (2136 HK). VCredit Holdings (2003 HK) and Vesync (2148 HK) also in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news took place on: Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), and Dexus Property (DXS AU) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

<ul>
<li>Reportedly, Blackstone is running a ruler over<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener"> Dexus Property (DXS AU)</a>, one of Australia’s leading fully integrated real estate groups. </li>
<li>The Australian article flips flops: "Blackstone is understood to have been back on the scene"; but "cooled on the opportunity for now". </li>
<li>Almost exactly four year ago, Blackstone <a href="https://www.afr.com/property/commercial/blackstone-snaps-up-logistics-stake-for-2-1b-20211210-p59gl5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">paid A$2.1bn for a 49% stake</a> in the Dexus Australian Logistics Trust, a prime logistics portfolio managed and jointly owned by Dexus.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly, Blackstone is running a ruler over Dexus Property (DXS AU), one of Australia’s leading fully integrated real estate groups. 
The Australian article flips flops: "Blackstone is understood to have been back on the scene"; but "cooled on the opportunity for now". 
Almost exactly four year ago, Blackstone paid A$2.1bn for a 49% stake in the Dexus Australian Logistics Trust, a prime logistics portfolio managed and jointly owned by Dexus.


Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group (CAR AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property (DXS AU)</a> in the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clarity-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34095:1" rel="noopener">Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spark-new-zealand-ltd-3dcc706a-f086-4dd4-882b-2a42a36ccf8d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26915:1" rel="noopener">Spark New Zealand (SPK AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spark-new-zealand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:930:1" rel="noopener">Spark New Zealand</a> were deleted from a global index a couple of weeks ago, so this will heap further pressure and increase the real float of the stocks.</li>
<li>There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume for all changes, but positioning in some stocks may continue post the announcement.</li>
</ul>



CAR Group (CAR AU) replaces Dexus Property (DXS AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index and Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (CU6 AU) replaces Spark New Zealand (SPK AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX200 (AS51 INDEX).

Dexus Property and Spark New Zealand were deleted from a global index a couple of weeks ago, so this will heap further pressure and increase the real float of the stocks.
There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume for all changes, but positioning in some stocks may continue post the announcement.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted

Australia

Dexus provides real estate services. The Company manages and invests in a portfolio of diversified properties, including office and industrial buildings, retail shopping centers, and car parks. Dexus serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

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Dexus Property (DXS AU)

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Only Float & Capping Changes

No constituent changes, but a few float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Blackstone Eyes Move On Dexus (DXS AU)

There's a sniff of an Offer. But not much of one. Dexus looks pretty beaten up here. But I can see the share price sideways trend continuing...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted

CAR replaces Dexus Property in the ASX50 and Clarity Pharma replaces Spark NZ in the ASX200. This is another big deletion for Dexus and Spark...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Only Float & Capping Changes

No constituent changes, but a few float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.9% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Blackstone Eyes Move On Dexus (DXS AU)

There's a sniff of an Offer. But not much of one. Dexus looks pretty beaten up here. But I can see the share price sideways trend continuing...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted

CAR replaces Dexus Property in the ASX50 and Clarity Pharma replaces Spark NZ in the ASX200. This is another big deletion for Dexus and Spark...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted