Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 14th): CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 7th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL, Qbe Insurance.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD46.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 31st (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD46.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vale's China strategy is paying off, with premium products and a richer sales mix driving stronger growth while peers struggle to protect their foothold in China.</li>
<li>Bacaba's early start-up is more than a scheduling win. It signals tangible progress toward Vale's ambition to significantly expand copper production.</li>
<li>Higher iron ore C1 costs, mounting pressure on Chinese steel demand, and Serra Sul +20 execution remain key watchpoints.</li>
</ul>


Vale's China strategy is paying off, with premium products and a richer sales mix driving stronger growth while peers struggle to protect their foothold in China.
Bacaba's early start-up is more than a scheduling win. It signals tangible progress toward Vale's ambition to significantly expand copper production.
Higher iron ore C1 costs, mounting pressure on Chinese steel demand, and Serra Sul +20 execution remain key watchpoints.


Vale: Deepening Its China Advantage, Preparing for the Copper Boom

Australia

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. explores for and produces iron ore. The Company conducts business worldwide.

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Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 14th): CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 7th): Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos, CSL

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Northern Star Resources, Qantas Airways, Santos,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 31st): Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Ampol, Origin Energy, Stockland, Dexus Property,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Vale: Deepening Its China Advantage, Preparing for the Copper Boom

Serra Sul +20 is reshaping Vale's iron ore advantage, while Bacaba's accelerated rollout signals management is executing faster than the market...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

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