Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It's not clear why it would be better for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)</a>'s assets to be unlisted rather than listed, so this is purely financial not strategic given the ownership. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> boasts low risk, stable yielding, toll road assets.  That's an attractive proposition for cash-up IFM, which now has a 15% economic interest. </li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">DTAC TB</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">TRUE TB</a>'s merger goes through, the top two players control ~96% of the market. Even the generally complicit Thai regulator might be reluctant to grant approval. </li>
</ul>


It's not clear why it would be better for Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)'s assets to be unlisted rather than listed, so this is purely financial not strategic given the ownership. 

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) boasts low risk, stable yielding, toll road assets.  That's an attractive proposition for cash-up IFM, which now has a 15% economic interest. 
If DTAC TB / TRUE TB's merger goes through, the top two players control ~96% of the market. Even the generally complicit Thai regulator might be reluctant to grant approval. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Atlas Arteria, Frasers Hospitality, DTAC/True, Crown Resorts, Saratoga

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>’s independent board committee unanimously concluded that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)</a>’s H-Share CBs offer is not in the best interests of Yancoal’s minority shareholders. </li>
<li>Yankuang is open to continuing its discussions with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8427:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)</a> but maintains that the offer was based on long-term factors including expectations of future coal prices.</li>
<li>Overall, the wording of Yankuang’s response suggests that it is more inclined to bide its time rather than return with a better offer. Required FIRB approval remains an overhang.</li>
</ul>



Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)’s independent board committee unanimously concluded that Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)’s H-Share CBs offer is not in the best interests of Yancoal’s minority shareholders. 
Yankuang is open to continuing its discussions with Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) but maintains that the offer was based on long-term factors including expectations of future coal prices.
Overall, the wording of Yankuang’s response suggests that it is more inclined to bide its time rather than return with a better offer. Required FIRB approval remains an overhang.


Yankuang’s Response Suggests that It Rather Wait than Improve Its Offer for Yancoal

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wm-motor-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29225:1" rel="noopener">WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH)</a> filed for a US$1bn IPO and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gogox-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35556:1" rel="noopener">GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK)</a> aims to shortly launch a US$100-150m IPO.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, key developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiamen-international-port-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5390:1" rel="noopener">Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocoaland-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:493:1" rel="noopener">Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, WM Motor Technology Co Ltd (WMT CH) filed for a US$1bn IPO and GoGoX Holdings (GOGO HK) aims to shortly launch a US$100-150m IPO.
On the Event-Driven front, key developments at Xiamen International Port H (3378 HK), Link Net (LINK IJ), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU), Yancoal Australia (YAL AU), Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK).  


Weekly Deals Digest (5 Jun): Link Admin, Cocoaland, Xiamen Port, Link Net, WM Motor, GOGOX, Yancoal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited H (1171 HK)</a>/Yankuang, a 62.26% shareholder, aims to offer H Share convertible bonds for US$3.60 (HK$28.26 or A$5.07) per <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> share.</li>
<li>Yankuang’s implied offer price is -16.6% and -14.5% below the last close price on the ASX and HKEx, respectively. At first glance, the offer seems to be a non-starter.  </li>
<li>Yankuang’s end game is likely to provide large shareholders with a liquidity event to hit the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold. This ploy could work subject to FIRB approval. </li>
</ul>



Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited H (1171 HK)/Yankuang, a 62.26% shareholder, aims to offer H Share convertible bonds for US$3.60 (HK$28.26 or A$5.07) per Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) share.
Yankuang’s implied offer price is -16.6% and -14.5% below the last close price on the ASX and HKEx, respectively. At first glance, the offer seems to be a non-starter.  
Yankuang’s end game is likely to provide large shareholders with a liquidity event to hit the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold. This ploy could work subject to FIRB approval. 


Yancoal’s Unusual Low Bid from Yankuang Energy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group Company (1171 HK)</a> is considering an Offer for dual-listed coal-miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU / 3668 HK)</a> via the issuance of H-share convertible bonds.</li>
<li>The potential consideration of US$3.60 (~A$5.07/~HK$28.26) per Yancoal share, in the form of H-Share CBs, compares to the last close A$6.08 and HK$33.05. Perhaps an attractive yield will be dangled. </li>
<li>Yankuang Energy has 62.26%. Cinda, Glencore, and China Shandong collectively hold 27.7%. You need all three to support the Offer terms, and then some, to force compulsory acquisition. </li>
</ul>



Yankuang Energy Group Company (1171 HK) is considering an Offer for dual-listed coal-miner Yancoal Australia (YAL AU / 3668 HK) via the issuance of H-share convertible bonds.
The potential consideration of US$3.60 (~A$5.07/~HK$28.26) per Yancoal share, in the form of H-Share CBs, compares to the last close A$6.08 and HK$33.05. Perhaps an attractive yield will be dangled. 
Yankuang Energy has 62.26%. Cinda, Glencore, and China Shandong collectively hold 27.7%. You need all three to support the Offer terms, and then some, to force compulsory acquisition. 


Yancoal (YAL AU, 3668 HK): Potential Offer From Parent In H-Share CBs

Australia

Yancoal Australia Ltd. provides mining services. The Company mines, sells, exports, and markets clean and coking coal. Yancoal operates internationally.

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Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Atlas Arteria, Frasers Hospitality, DTAC/True, Crown Resorts, Saratoga

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Yankuang’s Response Suggests that It Rather Wait than Improve Its Offer for Yancoal

Yancoal unsurprisingly batted away Yankuang's low-ball offer. The wording in Yankuang's response suggests that it is unlikely to offer improved...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (5 Jun): Link Admin, Cocoaland, Xiamen Port, Link Net, WM Motor, GOGOX, Yancoal

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Xiamen Port, Link Net, Yancoal, Link, AOF, Cocoaland, AKM, Irongate, Virtus Health) and...

Arun George

Yancoal’s Unusual Low Bid from Yankuang Energy

Yankuang’s implied offer price is materially below the last close price on both the ASX and HKEx. The strategy is likely to secure large...

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Atlas Arteria, Frasers Hospitality, DTAC/True, Crown Resorts, Saratoga

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Yankuang’s Response Suggests that It Rather Wait than Improve Its Offer for Yancoal

Yancoal unsurprisingly batted away Yankuang's low-ball offer. The wording in Yankuang's response suggests that it is unlikely to offer improved...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (5 Jun): Link Admin, Cocoaland, Xiamen Port, Link Net, WM Motor, GOGOX, Yancoal

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Xiamen Port, Link Net, Yancoal, Link, AOF, Cocoaland, AKM, Irongate, Virtus Health) and...

Arun George

Yancoal’s Unusual Low Bid from Yankuang Energy

Yankuang’s implied offer price is materially below the last close price on both the ASX and HKEx. The strategy is likely to secure large...

Arun George

Yancoal (YAL AU, 3668 HK): Potential Offer From Parent In H-Share CBs

The headline CB price doesn't look like it will cut it. But it will help provide support near term. The focal point will be the fixed interest on...

David Blennerhassett