Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-deal-structure-past-deals-index-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96666" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-misbehaving-still-has-time-to-correct-a-look-at-past-deals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97201" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback and Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving. 
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.


Japan Post Bank Placement -  Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>IPO activity appears to be picking up across the region, with deal in Japan, Hong Kong, US and Indonesia being lined up.</li>
<li>Placements as well picked up pace, despite the ongoing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>'s mega deal set to suck liquidity out of the system for a while. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
IPO activity appears to be picking up across the region, with deal in Japan, Hong Kong, US and Indonesia being lined up.
Placements as well picked up pace, despite the ongoing Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)'s mega deal set to suck liquidity out of the system for a while. 


ECM Weekly (12th Mar 2023) - Meituan, Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, JFW, Ventia, Doosan, DXN, DPC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) announced (9 March) 4Q22 results: revenue was RMB295.4bn, up 7% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income of RMB7.7bn in 4Q22 was ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB5.6/5.5bn, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 2.6% (4Q21: 1.3%), 0.7pp ahead of our forecast.</li><li>For 2022, total revenue grew 10% YoY (2021: 28%) to RMB1.0tn, and non-GAAP net margin expanded by 0.9pp YoY to 2.7%.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

JD.com (JD) announced (9 March) 4Q22 results: revenue was RMB295.4bn, up 7% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income of RMB7.7bn in 4Q22 was ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB5.6/5.5bn, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 2.6% (4Q21: 1.3%), 0.7pp ahead of our forecast.For 2022, total revenue grew 10% YoY (2021: 28%) to RMB1.0tn, and non-GAAP net margin expanded by 0.9pp YoY to 2.7%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Driving for long-term healthy growth

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>In C4Q22, JD reported in-line total revenue and beat in profit. We trimmed down our forecast on C1Q23 total revenue by 4% due to slower-than-expected rebound in retail spending. </li>
<li>JD is shifting its strategy to be more focused on low price and user, and we suggest that the repositioning period could be painful for the company.</li>
<li>We cut our revenue forecast by 5%. Our estimates on top and bottom lines in 2023 are (6%) and (28%) below cons. Maintain SELL rating and cut TP to US$27.</li>
</ul>


In C4Q22, JD reported in-line total revenue and beat in profit. We trimmed down our forecast on C1Q23 total revenue by 4% due to slower-than-expected rebound in retail spending. 
JD is shifting its strategy to be more focused on low price and user, and we suggest that the repositioning period could be painful for the company.
We cut our revenue forecast by 5%. Our estimates on top and bottom lines in 2023 are (6%) and (28%) below cons. Maintain SELL rating and cut TP to US$27.


[JD.com (JD US) Target Price Change]: Painful Transition Weighs on Both Topline and Margin

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (ADR) (JD US)

Japan Post Bank Placement - Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

Japan Post Holdings aims to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc, Bidu, Hkelectric, Goldwind, Zijin Mining

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Meituan, Hsbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (12th Mar 2023) - Meituan, Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, JFW, Ventia, Doosan, DXN, DPC

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (JD US) – Driving for long-term healthy growth

JD.com (JD) announced (9 March) 4Q22 results: revenue was RMB295.4bn, up 7% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.

CMB International

[JD.com (JD US) Target Price Change]: Painful Transition Weighs on Both Topline and Margin

JD is shifting its strategy to be more focused on low price and user, and we suggest that the repositioning period could be painful for the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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