Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HK$100bn a day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity with US$600mm+ of net buying on average. Net flows continue to be impressive. SOEs/Energy/Financials dominate.</li>
<li>Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could up the pace of things.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$100bn a day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity with US$600mm+ of net buying on average. Net flows continue to be impressive. SOEs/Energy/Financials dominate.
Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could up the pace of things.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 21 Nov 2025) - BIG Net Buy on Lower Gross Flows. BABA Bought

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>3SBio will spin-off and separately list the shares of Mandi, a subsidiary of the company. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid, world’s first liquid formulation of IV infliximab.</li>
<li>Hanmi Pharmaceutical is acquiring all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Aptose Biosciences that are not currently owned or controlled by Hanmi.</li>
<li>Otsuka got CHMP positive opinion for donidalorsen for the prevention of recurrent attacks of HAE. CSL plans to expand U.S. presence over the next five years, with ~$1.5B U.S. capex.</li>
</ul>


3SBio will spin-off and separately list the shares of Mandi, a subsidiary of the company. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid, world’s first liquid formulation of IV infliximab.
Hanmi Pharmaceutical is acquiring all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Aptose Biosciences that are not currently owned or controlled by Hanmi.
Otsuka got CHMP positive opinion for donidalorsen for the prevention of recurrent attacks of HAE. CSL plans to expand U.S. presence over the next five years, with ~$1.5B U.S. capex.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.</li>
<li>The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hua-hong-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7201:1" rel="noopener">Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)</a> are badly exposed.</li>
</ul>


Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.
The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. 

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK) are badly exposed.


HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>At current valuation level, leading biotech listed in Hong Kong have generally “overdrawn” their performance for the next 1 to 3 years. So, it is time to consider taking profits.</li>
<li>TransThera’s shares have been highly volatile following their inclusion in several innovative-drug ETFs. We analyzed the drivers behind this move. With valuation now diverging from fundamentals, we advise caution.</li>
<li>The fluctuations of Duality’s shares were driven by the inclusion of HSCI. However, some funds chose to take profits at high stock prices, thus Duality is under pressure of correction.</li>
</ul>


At current valuation level, leading biotech listed in Hong Kong have generally “overdrawn” their performance for the next 1 to 3 years. So, it is time to consider taking profits.
TransThera’s shares have been highly volatile following their inclusion in several innovative-drug ETFs. We analyzed the drivers behind this move. With valuation now diverging from fundamentals, we advise caution.
The fluctuations of Duality’s shares were driven by the inclusion of HSCI. However, some funds chose to take profits at high stock prices, thus Duality is under pressure of correction.


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep.21)-HK Biotechs Are Overvalued, Duality, Story Behind "Crazy" TransThera

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Horizon Robotics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Horizon Robotics.


HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

China

3SBio, Inc. is a biotechnology company located in China. The Company focuses on mammalian cell-based biopharmaceuticals in the biotechnology industry. 3SBio also develops, manufactures and markets biopharmaceutical products globally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

3SBio Inc (1530 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 21 Nov 2025) - BIG Net Buy on Lower Gross Flows. BABA Bought

BIG Net flows - averaging US$1bn a day - as HK shares fall sharply on the week. Alibaba and Info Tech see renewed big inflows. Some ETF buying last...

Travis Lundy

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

3SBio will spin-off and separately list its subsidiary. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid. Hanmi Pharm is acquiring Aptose...

Tina Banerjee

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep.21)-HK Biotechs Are Overvalued, Duality, Story Behind "Crazy" TransThera

Investors in HK biotechs should consider taking profits as they are overvalued. Duality is under pressure of correction. TransThera’s shares...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th and highlight short interest changes in China Hongqiao (1378 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 21 Nov 2025) - BIG Net Buy on Lower Gross Flows. BABA Bought

BIG Net flows - averaging US$1bn a day - as HK shares fall sharply on the week. Alibaba and Info Tech see renewed big inflows. Some ETF buying last...

Travis Lundy

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 23) – 3SBio, Celltrion, Hanmi Pharm, HK Inno.N, Otsuka, CSL

3SBio will spin-off and separately list its subsidiary. Celltrion got EC approval for Remsima IV liquid. Hanmi Pharm is acquiring Aptose...

Tina Banerjee

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

​Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep.21)-HK Biotechs Are Overvalued, Duality, Story Behind "Crazy" TransThera

​Investors in HK biotechs should consider taking profits as they are overvalued. Duality is under pressure of correction. TransThera’s shares...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Hongqiao, Xiaomi, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 29th and highlight short interest changes in China Hongqiao (1378 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Investors in HK biotechs should consider taking profits as they are overvalued. Duality is under pressure of correction. TransThera’s shares...