External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Mahindra & Mahindra Fin Services Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>As the company's Mission 2025 nears its finishing line, it has been a case of ‘glass half full’.</li><li>With Q2FY25 business updates already lowering expectations on growth and the asset quality front, we believe the negativities around growth, asset quality, and profitability are already priced-in with MMFS shares down 17% QTD Q3FY25 (vs NIFTY down ~4% and NIFTY Midcap down 3%).</li><li>Notwithstanding some setbacks caused by the confluence of internal and external factors, we see the management's medium-to-long term strategy to deliver diversified and profitable growth to be gradually progressing on the right track.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As the company's Mission 2025 nears its finishing line, it has been a case of ‘glass half full’.With Q2FY25 business updates already lowering expectations on growth and the asset quality front, we believe the negativities around growth, asset quality, and profitability are already priced-in with MMFS shares down 17% QTD Q3FY25 (vs NIFTY down ~4% and NIFTY Midcap down 3%).Notwithstanding some setbacks caused by the confluence of internal and external factors, we see the management's medium-to-long term strategy to deliver diversified and profitable growth to be gradually progressing on the right track.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra Finance - Inflection Point Around the Corner; Valuation Palatable; Upgrade to BUY

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The RBI kept repo rates unchanged but more importantly pivoted its stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to “neutral”, signalling an openness to rate cuts over the coming months</li><li>Although system-wide liquidity has organically improved since our most recent publication on the liquidity conundrum, deposit growth is likely to remain a function of growth in the broader money supply (M3) and inflation targets</li><li>More importantly, in line with its ‘satark’ motto, the RBI has categorically highlighted the unscrupulous practices of NBFC/HFCs to pursue growth and profitability at the cost of compliance and fair practices, with an unusually stern directive to such regulated entities to proactively mend their ways.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The RBI kept repo rates unchanged but more importantly pivoted its stance from “withdrawal of accommodation” to “neutral”, signalling an openness to rate cuts over the coming monthsAlthough system-wide liquidity has organically improved since our most recent publication on the liquidity conundrum, deposit growth is likely to remain a function of growth in the broader money supply (M3) and inflation targetsMore importantly, in line with its ‘satark’ motto, the RBI has categorically highlighted the unscrupulous practices of NBFC/HFCs to pursue growth and profitability at the cost of compliance and fair practices, with an unusually stern directive to such regulated entities to proactively mend their ways.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Satark’ NBFCs, RBI Pivots to a Stern Warning

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ</li>
<li>Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ</li>
<li>There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands</li>
</ul>


Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ
Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ
There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands


Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM compression, offsetting strong AUM growth (+31% YoY)</li><li>Loan growth continued to remain robust across segments except rural B2C (asset quality challenges) and urban sales finance (regulatory embargo)</li><li>While the management had indicated an uptick in credit costs during FY25, the sharp spike has been a negative surprise, although we expect some normalisation during H2FY25</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM compression, offsetting strong AUM growth (+31% YoY)Loan growth continued to remain robust across segments except rural B2C (asset quality challenges) and urban sales finance (regulatory embargo)While the management had indicated an uptick in credit costs during FY25, the sharp spike has been a negative surprise, although we expect some normalisation during H2FY25Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life, Supreme Industries

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Limited is a finance company that provides finance to prospective buyers of Mahindra range of utility vehicles and tractors.  The Company extends finance through hire purchase/loan and lease modes.  Mahindra & Mahindra has a network of branches located across India.

Mahindra & Mahindra Fin Services Ltd. (MMFS IN)

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Mahindra & Mahindra Fin Services Ltd. (MMFS IN)

Mahindra Finance - Inflection Point Around the Corner; Valuation Palatable; Upgrade to BUY

With Q2FY25 business updates already lowering expectations on growth and the asset quality front, we believe the negativities around growth, asset...

Emkay

Leveraged Financials: ‘Satark’ NBFCs, RBI Pivots to a Stern Warning

We continue to reiterate our preference towards large banks (top pick: SBIN, ICICIBC) over NBFCs (Top pick: BAF) in the current environment.

HDFC Securities

Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

Canara Bank continues to see improvements in credit metrics. Less focus on MSMEs and more on retail can support this. LDR contract QoQ may reverse...

Daniel Tabbush

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life, Supreme Industries

Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, Torrent Pharma, ICICI Prudential Life

Bajaj Finance (BAF) earnings were below our estimates on account of elevated provisioning (2.1%, adjusted for management overlay), and NIM...

HDFC Securities

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