IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> IPOs &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a>'s secondary placement.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) IPOs &amp; Socionext (6526 JP)'s secondary placement.
Event-Driven developments - Chindata Group (CD US), IMAX China Holding (1970 HK), Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jul) - Socionext, Tryt, IMAX, Shougang Resources, Invocare, Musgrave

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh (7752 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.

Canon (7751 JP)'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs Ricoh (7752 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a> disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5321:1" rel="noopener">IMAX Corp (IMAX US)</a> at HK$10.00 per share, a 39.5% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$7.17 on 10 July).</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). No independent shareholder holds a blocking stake. </li>
<li>The offer price is final. While the offer price is light compared to peer multiples and historical share prices, the deal will likely succeed. </li>
</ul>



IMAX China Holding (1970 HK) disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from IMAX Corp (IMAX US) at HK$10.00 per share, a 39.5% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$7.17 on 10 July).
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). No independent shareholder holds a blocking stake. 
The offer price is final. While the offer price is light compared to peer multiples and historical share prices, the deal will likely succeed. 


IMAX China (1970 HK): IMAX Corp’s Privatisation Offer

<ul>
<li>This morning (13 July), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a> announced a take-private transaction from its parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5321:1" rel="noopener">IMAX Corp (IMAX US)</a> at HK$10/share.</li>
<li>The Offer price is a 9.65% premium to last close but a 39.47% premium over the closing price on the last full trading day. Evidently, there was news leakage.</li>
<li>IMAX US holds  71.63% in IMAX China, therefore the blocking stake at the Schene Meeting is 2.837% of shares out. </li>
</ul>


This morning (13 July), IMAX China Holding (1970 HK) announced a take-private transaction from its parent IMAX Corp (IMAX US) at HK$10/share.
The Offer price is a 9.65% premium to last close but a 39.47% premium over the closing price on the last full trading day. Evidently, there was news leakage.
IMAX US holds  71.63% in IMAX China, therefore the blocking stake at the Schene Meeting is 2.837% of shares out. 


IMAX China (1970 HK): Parent Privatisation

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Although the Golden Week has historically created many record-breaking box offices such as Jiang Ziya: Legend of Deification, the holiday season is only one week thus there are only so many movies that can be released and cinema-goers can only watch so many movies, thus the impact is typically short-lived. 
In light of the delay of the big title releases such as James Bond's No Time To Die, Marvel's Black Widow, and DC's Wonder Woman 1984, Cineworld has decided to shut its business down temporarily. Although <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">Imax China Holding (1970 HK)</a> will most likely stay afloat and keep operating despite the difficult period, its Hollywood movies supply may be limited thus the revenue recovery story will be capped as well. Stay out of IMAX China.

Although the Golden Week has historically created many record-breaking box offices such as Jiang Ziya: Legend of Deification, the holiday season is only one week thus there are only so many movies that can be released and cinema-goers can only watch so many movies, thus the impact is typically short-lived. 
In light of the delay of the big title releases such as James Bond's No Time To Die, Marvel's Black Widow, and DC's Wonder Woman 1984, Cineworld has decided to shut its business down temporarily. Although Imax China Holding (1970 HK) will most likely stay afloat and keep operating despite the difficult period, its Hollywood movies supply may be limited thus the revenue recovery story will be capped as well. Stay out of IMAX China. 

IMAX China (1970): Golden Week and Cineworld

United States

IMAX Corporation offers end-to-end cinematic solution combining proprietary software, theater architecture and equipment. The Company designs and manufactures premium theater systems and digitally re-masters films into the IMAX format and the exhibition of those films in the IMAX theater network.

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IMAX Corp (IMAX US)

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jul) - Socionext, Tryt, IMAX, Shougang Resources, Invocare, Musgrave

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (InvoCare, Musgrave, IMAX, Shougang Resources, Chindata) and ECM (Socionext, Tryt,...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

IMAX China (1970 HK): IMAX Corp’s Privatisation Offer

The offer price is final. No independent shareholder holds a blocking stake. While the offer price is light compared to peer multiples and...

Arun George

IMAX China (1970 HK): Parent Privatisation

Trading at a 6.8%/21% gross/annualised spread, assuming mid-Nov completion. That's a little wider than you'd see in a cleaner deal. I still expect...

David Blennerhassett

IMAX China (1970): Golden Week and Cineworld

Although th

Henry Soediarko

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