Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nzme-limited-ae7028be-d76c-4521-9668-48a03910e954" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24021:1" rel="noopener">NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU)</a>, publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.</li>
<li>The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. </li>
<li>Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.</li>
</ul>


After NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU), publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.
The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. 
Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.


NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): In Need Of A Good Story

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://archive.is/b5mG6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reportedly</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-clinical-labs-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36020:1" rel="noopener">Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a> may reload a merger. </li>
<li>The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  </li>
<li>Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-diagnostics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24306:1" rel="noopener">Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)</a> merged.</li>
</ul>



Reportedly, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) and Healius (HLS AU) may reload a merger. 
The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  
Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and Capitol Health (CAJ AU) and Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) merged.


Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we expect two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> ETF in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> is a high probability add while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> is a high probability delete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp H (763 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion currently and could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-coal-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:383:1" rel="noopener">China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK)</a> as long as it stays in inclusion zone.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we expect two changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) ETF in March.

Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) is a high probability add while China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) is a high probability delete.

ZTE Corp H (763 HK) is a potential inclusion currently and could replace China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK) as long as it stays in inclusion zone.


FXI Rebalance Preview: GTJA, ZTE In; CTG, China Coal Out

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> (GNF).</li>
<li>The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0122/2025012200343.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backed the Offer</a>.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0210/2025021000033.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders backed the Offer.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

China

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. is a securities firm which acts as a broker, dealer for securities. The Company also provides investment advisory, placing and underwriting, nominee and custodian services.

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Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): In Need Of A Good Story

Print media is a tough gig. Especially daily print media. NZME is not exactly trading "cheap" to peers. Unless someone was to step up with an...

David Blennerhassett

Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

After heady days during Covid, demand has tapered, but higher operating costs remain. Consolidation makes sense. Healius is trading below it pre...

David Blennerhassett

FXI Rebalance Preview: GTJA, ZTE In; CTG, China Coal Out

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in March with Guotai Junan and ZTE replacing CTG and China Coal. There will be capping flows for Alibaba,...

Brian Freitas

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

As of the 14th Feb, GNH is no longer shortable. Avoid the arb trade. A more interesting bet is GNH, at a 74% discount to NAV and 0.21x P/B. That...

David Blennerhassett

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