Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Chinese onshore markets now on a roll- will it continue?</li>
<li>The fight over critical materials heats up as the rally broadens out</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Chinese onshore markets now on a roll- will it continue?
The fight over critical materials heats up as the rally broadens out


Overview #33 Ignore the Noise, Follow the Money: China’s Next Leg Higher

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Giant Network Group Co Ltd / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.
We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.


Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on PDD, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, ALIBABA, TCL Zhonghuan, Biwin Storage, XIAOMI.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on PDD, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, ALIBABA, TCL Zhonghuan, Biwin Storage, XIAOMI.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Mar): PDD, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, ALIBABA

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Nonferrous Mining / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a>'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a> has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.</li>
<li>Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.</li>
</ul>


The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 

China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.


China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Change of mindset needed for HK/China as the bull markets broadens out</li>
<li>Signs of excess are rife in many global markets, but no top yet signalled.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Change of mindset needed for HK/China as the bull markets broadens out
Signs of excess are rife in many global markets, but no top yet signalled.


Overview #34 – China Rocks On: Bull Market Rules

China

China Nonferrous Mining is primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, ore processing, leaching, smelting, and sale of copper and cobalt. Its key products include copper cathodes, blister copper, copper anodes, and cobalt hydroxide. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2011.

Price Gauge
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China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK)

Overview #33 Ignore the Noise, Follow the Money: China’s Next Leg Higher

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the Chinese breakout and laggards in the material sector

Rikki Malik

Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Still Bullish. China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 Int'l Compass titled "China and Japan Breaking Out." It...

Vermilion Research

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Mar): PDD, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, ALIBABA

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Mar 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in PDD, UNITED NOVA TECHNOLOGY, MEITUAN, TENCENT, ALIBABA, TCL...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM