Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Nonferrous Mining Corp / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a>'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-nonferrous-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6505:1" rel="noopener">China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)</a> has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.</li>
<li>Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.</li>
</ul>


The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)'s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 

China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday's sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.


China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>The current macro environment has elements of both the 1970's and mid-2000s commodity bull market</li>
<li>Investor interest and allocation to this asset class is still minimal</li>
<li>A rising cost of capital globally favours a move out of long duration into real assets</li>
</ul>


The current macro environment has elements of both the 1970's and mid-2000s commodity bull market
Investor interest and allocation to this asset class is still minimal
A rising cost of capital globally favours a move out of long duration into real assets


2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Nonferrous Mining Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A shares were down on the week, not maintaining the month-end bounce after the long weekend. H-shares were mixed. HSCEI was slightly up. </li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK23bn. SOUTHBOUND ended its consecutive post-CNY daily net buy streak on 25 March, then started a new one. No net sell days since.</li>
<li>This week saw a LOT of news. State Council Nine Points. CSRC draft regs and legislative work plan. Ratings agency action. Lots of movement. None of it hugely positive.</li>
</ul>


A shares were down on the week, not maintaining the month-end bounce after the long weekend. H-shares were mixed. HSCEI was slightly up. 
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK23bn. SOUTHBOUND ended its consecutive post-CNY daily net buy streak on 25 March, then started a new one. No net sell days since.
This week saw a LOT of news. State Council Nine Points. CSRC draft regs and legislative work plan. Ratings agency action. Lots of movement. None of it hugely positive.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying. New State Council and CSRC Plans

<ul>
<li>How have our major investment themes performed so far in 2025?</li>
<li>Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on</li>
<li>We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for Q4 25</li>
</ul>


How have our major investment themes performed so far in 2025?
Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on
We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for Q4 25


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Change of mindset needed for HK/China as the bull markets broadens out</li>
<li>Signs of excess are rife in many global markets, but no top yet signalled.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Change of mindset needed for HK/China as the bull markets broadens out
Signs of excess are rife in many global markets, but no top yet signalled.


Overview #34 – China Rocks On: Bull Market Rules

Zambia

China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd is a copper mining company. The Company is focused on the mining, ore processing, leaching, smelting, and sale of copper in Zambia.

Price Gauge
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China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

China Nonferrous Mining should be added to a global index in Nov. Shorts have increased a lot recently. The stock has outperformed most peers and...

Brian Freitas

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Why a basket of commodity producers provide a good risk reward for any portfolio looking to get a real return. Underowned and unloved!

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying. New State Council and CSRC Plans

Strong SOUTHBOUND Connect flows continue. Only one net sell day since the end of Chinese New Year. H-shares were flat to up while A-shares were...

Travis Lundy

Q4 Outlook for Our Investment Themes

A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.

Rikki Malik

Overview #34 – China Rocks On: Bull Market Rules

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at some new additions in Chinese tech as the bull market broadens

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

China Nonferrous Mining should be added to a global index in Nov. Shorts have increased a lot recently. The stock has outperformed most peers and...

Brian Freitas

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Why a basket of commodity producers provide a good risk reward for any portfolio looking to get a real return. Underowned and unloved!

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying. New State Council and CSRC Plans

Strong SOUTHBOUND Connect flows continue. Only one net sell day since the end of Chinese New Year. H-shares were flat to up while A-shares were...

Travis Lundy

Q4 Outlook for Our Investment Themes

​A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.

Rikki Malik

Overview #34 – China Rocks On: Bull Market Rules

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at some new additions in Chinese tech as the bull market broadens

Rikki Malik

A review of the performance of how our major investment themes have performed in 2025 and our outlook for Q4 and beyond.