Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this original series, we do a deep-dive on 4 HK real estate companies: SHKP, CKA, NWD, LINK REIT, and explain why we think they have an exciting year ahead</li>
<li>We believe the current macro backdrop in US, China and Hong Kong will support our investment thesis in real estate, with each company having additional catalysts to drive re-rating</li>
<li>Depending on investors’ appetite, style and mandate, we discuss multiple trading strategies that can play around these 4 names, including absolute, relative and yield plays</li>
</ul>


In this original series, we do a deep-dive on 4 HK real estate companies: SHKP, CKA, NWD, LINK REIT, and explain why we think they have an exciting year ahead
We believe the current macro backdrop in US, China and Hong Kong will support our investment thesis in real estate, with each company having additional catalysts to drive re-rating
Depending on investors’ appetite, style and mandate, we discuss multiple trading strategies that can play around these 4 names, including absolute, relative and yield plays


HK RE Series (1): Picking the Winners for 2024 with Supportive Macro Backdrop & Company Catalysts

<ul>
<li>PBoC cut 25bps of RRR, being the second cut in 2023, and is expected to inject 500bn of liquidity into the system. The average RRR is 7.4% post cut</li>
<li>We look at the potential pair trade of China and HK for property.  The original thesis was that China offers higher growth to investors</li>
<li>Now, the thesis no longer holds.  The trade now becomes more complicated, given the moving pieces both from top down and bottom up.  We recommend single stock trade.</li>
</ul>


PBoC cut 25bps of RRR, being the second cut in 2023, and is expected to inject 500bn of liquidity into the system. The average RRR is 7.4% post cut
We look at the potential pair trade of China and HK for property.  The original thesis was that China offers higher growth to investors
Now, the thesis no longer holds.  The trade now becomes more complicated, given the moving pieces both from top down and bottom up.  We recommend single stock trade.


China RRR Cut, Macro, & A Debate on – Property Pair Trade “Long China and Short HK” (Or the Reverse)

<ul>
<li>The US paused the rate hike, but delivered a hawkish surprise to the market that showed a median projection of 2 additional rate hikes instead of one</li>
<li>In China, PBoC cut 7 day repo rate for 10bps, and then cut MLF by also 10bps from 2.75% to 2.65%</li>
<li>Stock market is always looking forward and trades on expectations of the fundamentals; BUY Chinese names COLI 688 HK,  HLP 101 HK, and HK name NWD 17 HK</li>
</ul>


The US paused the rate hike, but delivered a hawkish surprise to the market that showed a median projection of 2 additional rate hikes instead of one
In China, PBoC cut 7 day repo rate for 10bps, and then cut MLF by also 10bps from 2.75% to 2.65%
Stock market is always looking forward and trades on expectations of the fundamentals; BUY Chinese names COLI 688 HK,  HLP 101 HK, and HK name NWD 17 HK


Short Note: US Rate Pause, China Stimulus, and the HK Rebound

<ul>
<li>HK stock market rebounded strongly due to a few reasons, mostly macro and policy-related.  Macro factors and policies become primary share price drivers</li>
<li>Investors can add more beta names (China Property Developers) and value plays (Hong Kong Developers) if they want to add exposure</li>
<li>Among the listed universe, 688 HK COLI, 17 HK NWD, 101 HK HLP are key names with attractive upside</li>
</ul>


HK stock market rebounded strongly due to a few reasons, mostly macro and policy-related.  Macro factors and policies become primary share price drivers
Investors can add more beta names (China Property Developers) and value plays (Hong Kong Developers) if they want to add exposure
Among the listed universe, 688 HK COLI, 17 HK NWD, 101 HK HLP are key names with attractive upside


Happy Friday & Strong HK Rebound! What to Chase? China Prop (High Beta) And HK Prop (Value Play)

<ul>
<li>While most HK equities are still trading at attractive valuation, it does not mean they can re-rate and many of them can remain value traps</li>
<li>However with the banking crisis, asset owners are moving their capital to Asia.  Hong Kong gov is doing everything to attract family office business</li>
<li>This, along with improving macro outlook, can drive re-rating.  BUY SHKP 16 HK and NWD 17 HK</li>
</ul>


While most HK equities are still trading at attractive valuation, it does not mean they can re-rate and many of them can remain value traps
However with the banking crisis, asset owners are moving their capital to Asia.  Hong Kong gov is doing everything to attract family office business
This, along with improving macro outlook, can drive re-rating.  BUY SHKP 16 HK and NWD 17 HK


HK Equity: 1) Strong Capital Inflow, 2) Pro-Growth Policy, 3) Better Macro Outlook to Drive Rerating

Hong Kong

New World Development is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate primarily engaged in property development and investment, hotels, infrastructure and services, and department stores in Greater China, particularly the Greater Bay Area. Its portfolio includes residential, retail, office, and industrial properties, as well as hotel operations and various infrastructure projects. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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New World Development (17 HK)

HK RE Series (1): Picking the Winners for 2024 with Supportive Macro Backdrop & Company Catalysts

With the current macro in US, China and HK, we do a deep dive on 4 HK RE companies which will have an exciting year ahead, given their company...

Jacob Cheng

China RRR Cut, Macro, & A Debate on – Property Pair Trade “Long China and Short HK” (Or the Reverse)

The RRR cut is another step of China's easing. We looked at the old pair trade between China and HK for property. The picture today is more...

Jacob Cheng

Short Note: US Rate Pause, China Stimulus, and the HK Rebound

Over the week, US delivered hawkish surprise while China continued to cut rates. On the back of slowing export and weak domestic demand, we expect...

Jacob Cheng

Happy Friday & Strong HK Rebound! What to Chase? China Prop (High Beta) And HK Prop (Value Play)

HK market strongly rebounded today due to a few macro and policy-related reasons. If investors want to add exposure, we recommend China (high beta...

Jacob Cheng

HK Equity: 1) Strong Capital Inflow, 2) Pro-Growth Policy, 3) Better Macro Outlook to Drive Rerating

Recent banking crisis and related capital flows creates opportunities for Hong Kong. Capital inflow, pro-growth policy and improving macro...

Jacob Cheng

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