Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.</li>
<li>Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.
Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.


Lenovo (992 HK) had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  



Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,366.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, Delta Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated holding was USD2,366.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD839mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics, Delta Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As of the latest data, we expect 4 ADDs and 4 DELs and one-way flows of ~US$3.4bn including capping effects.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2026 index rebal event.
As of the latest data, we expect 4 ADDs and 4 DELs and one-way flows of ~US$3.4bn including capping effects.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec26: 4 ADDs/DELs Likely; More Changes Possible; US$3.4bn One-Way

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Horizon Robotics is at the forefront of China's advancements in autonomous driving technology, indicating a significant shift in the automotive industry.</li><li>Foxtron's acquisition plans for Luxgen have raised concerns among investors, highlighting potential instability in the electric vehicle market.</li><li>The ASEAN region is experiencing a surge in global semiconductor IDM investments, reflecting a growing focus on technology development and manufacturing capabilities.</li></ul>

Horizon Robotics is at the forefront of China's advancements in autonomous driving technology, indicating a significant shift in the automotive industry.Foxtron's acquisition plans for Luxgen have raised concerns among investors, highlighting potential instability in the electric vehicle market.The ASEAN region is experiencing a surge in global semiconductor IDM investments, reflecting a growing focus on technology development and manufacturing capabilities.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Nov-2025): Horizon Robotics drives China's autonomous

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

We highlighted Lenovo's significant technical breakout pattern in our April insight, and the shares have more than doubled since the report....

David Mudd

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 2nd): MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, TSMC, Zhen Ding Technology, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec26: 4 ADDs/DELs Likely; More Changes Possible; US$3.4bn One-Way

There a couple of months left to the base date and there are multiple names close to the selection borders. Relative price swings can change our...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Nov-2025): Horizon Robotics drives China's autonomous

Horizon Robotics advances China's autonomous driving, Foxtron's Luxgen deal raises concerns, Wistron and Pegatron support Health2Sync, while BOE...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

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