Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teco-electric-machinery" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1866:1" rel="noopener">Teco Electric &amp; Machinery (1504 TT)</a> held a joint press conference this afternoon to announce the formation of alliance through a share swap.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teco-electric-machinery" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1866:1" rel="noopener">Teco (1504) TT</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai (2317 TT)</a> stated their target markets extend beyond Taiwan and Asia, to include substantial business opportunities in the U.S. and the Middle East.</li>
<li>Foxconn Chairman Mr. Young Liu also noted that as AI data centers scale up rapidly and demand surges, modular design is increasingly favored.  </li>
</ul>



Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT) and Teco Electric &amp; Machinery (1504 TT) held a joint press conference this afternoon to announce the formation of alliance through a share swap.

Teco (1504) TT and Hon Hai (2317 TT) stated their target markets extend beyond Taiwan and Asia, to include substantial business opportunities in the U.S. and the Middle East.
Foxconn Chairman Mr. Young Liu also noted that as AI data centers scale up rapidly and demand surges, modular design is increasingly favored.  


Hon Hai(2317.TT): Form Strategic Alliance Via Share Swap with TECO (1504) For Global AI Data Center

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.</li>
<li>An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.</li>
</ul>


We hosted a conference call with Elan Microelectronics management; We view the company as a Structural Long position for the AI PC upgrade cycle.
From the company's perspective, significant impact from AI PC demand will come but not until 4Q24E or 1H25E. However, supply chain excess inventory improved and prepping for upcycle.
An estimated 90% of AI PC models launched at CES 2024 use Elan's products in their design; Elan well positioned for the upcycle and entrenching its position. Maintain Structural Long.


TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai reported 1Q24 revenue that fell 9% YoY, however the company reiterated its guidance for significant growth in 2024E and said growth now looks stronger than guided in March.</li>
<li>Hon Hai's cloud (including servers) business didn't grow as much as guided due to material shortages; but AI server revenue up 200% YoY and significant growth is guided for 2024E.</li>
<li>The traditional server market is rebounding, to grow double digits in 2024E. Hon Hai expects to take market share in 2024. Structural Long but near-term gains could be limited.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai reported 1Q24 revenue that fell 9% YoY, however the company reiterated its guidance for significant growth in 2024E and said growth now looks stronger than guided in March.
Hon Hai's cloud (including servers) business didn't grow as much as guided due to material shortages; but AI server revenue up 200% YoY and significant growth is guided for 2024E.
The traditional server market is rebounding, to grow double digits in 2024E. Hon Hai expects to take market share in 2024. Structural Long but near-term gains could be limited.


Hon Hai: Traditional Server Market Now Adding to AI Growth; Expects Market Share Gains in 2024E

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Dell said "AI GPU shortage issue has been resolved. The lead time has been cut from 40 weeks by the end of 2023 to 8-12 weeks or less now.</li>
<li>We see this news short term positive but medium term negative to AI GPU supply chain vendors but need more information to confirm if this is an inflection point.</li>
<li>1. Taiwan Dell got priority supply? 2. Earlier overbooking over? 3. Lead time cut by supply upside? 4. Cooling company said the same; 5. Will lead time continue to shrink?</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Dell said "AI GPU shortage issue has been resolved. The lead time has been cut from 40 weeks by the end of 2023 to 8-12 weeks or less now.
We see this news short term positive but medium term negative to AI GPU supply chain vendors but need more information to confirm if this is an inflection point.
1. Taiwan Dell got priority supply? 2. Earlier overbooking over? 3. Lead time cut by supply upside? 4. Cooling company said the same; 5. Will lead time continue to shrink?


Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point?

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.</li>
<li>Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.</li>
<li>Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai's 4Q23 profit beat consensus and management has become more bullish on 2024E revenue thanks to demand for AI servers.
Guided 40% YoY growth expected for AI servers; Separately, Hon Hai reportedly could have won a major AI server order from HP Enterprise according to Digitimes.
Hon Hai shares are finally moving; We see room for continued upside based on re-rating of the company's valuation. Positive news flow potential through Nvidia's GTC conference next week.


Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point?

Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point? We see this lead time cut news short term positive but long term negative to AI GPU supply chain...

Andrew Lu

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Hon Hai(2317.TT): Form Strategic Alliance Via Share Swap with TECO (1504) For Global AI Data Center

​Hon Hai and Teco announced an alliance, targeting markets beyond Taiwan and Asia, including the U.S. and the Middle East. Foxconn the growing...

Patrick Liao

TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing

​Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai: Traditional Server Market Now Adding to AI Growth; Expects Market Share Gains in 2024E

​Hon Hai anticipates significant growth in 2024E, especially in AI server market despite material shortages. Traditional server market rebounding,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point?

Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point? We see this lead time cut news short term positive but long term negative to AI GPU supply chain...

Andrew Lu

Hon Hai: Beat & Raise; Further Valuation Upside; AI Server Product Announcements Next Week

​Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai and Teco announced an alliance, targeting markets beyond Taiwan and Asia, including the U.S. and the Middle East. Foxconn the growing...

Elan Microelectronics is poised for growth in the AI PC upgrade cycle, with a strong position in the market and potential impact expected in late...

Hon Hai anticipates significant growth in 2024E, especially in AI server market despite material shortages. Traditional server market rebounding,...

Hon Hai's delivers strong 4Q23 profit and bullish outlook on 2024 revenue driven by demand for AI servers. Potential major order from HP...