External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In Part I of our Asia AT1s comments, we focus our discussions on China AT1 and our rationale on why we believe that China AT1s, especially those of China G-SIBs, offer more predictable return.</li><li>To start with, the return predictability of AT1s are subject to 1) likelihood of loss absorption; 2) likelihood of cancellation of non-cumulative distribution; and 3) likelihood of being called, especially on the first call dates.</li><li>So far, there is no precedent on the principal of the AT1s of Chinese G- SIBs being written down or converted into equity.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Part I of our Asia AT1s comments, we focus our discussions on China AT1 and our rationale on why we believe that China AT1s, especially those of China G-SIBs, offer more predictable return.To start with, the return predictability of AT1s are subject to 1) likelihood of loss absorption; 2) likelihood of cancellation of non-cumulative distribution; and 3) likelihood of being called, especially on the first call dates.So far, there is no precedent on the principal of the AT1s of Chinese G- SIBs being written down or converted into equity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asian AT1s Part I – Our picks on Chinese G-SIBs AT1s

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><ul><li>Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.</li><li>Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).</li><li>Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).</li></ul></div>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Treasury losses to dent earnings: While we expect NII growth to be strong (up 16.9% YoY for coverage banks), treasury losses could be a major drag on operating profit growth.Systemic credit growth, provisional updates indicate optimism: As per RBI’s latest data, systemic credit growth rate is 12% YoY (June’22).Large cap banks showing stronger traction than peers; housing doing well: We expect large cap coverage banks to continue to report higher growth (20.7% YoY) vis-à-vis mid/small-cap peers (16.9% YoY) and PSBs (15.5% YoY).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>The legal tussle between promoters of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dish-tv-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7710:1" rel="noopener">Dish TV India (DITV IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> has again entered into the limelight.</li>
<li>The promoters of Dish TV, after repeatedly attempting to block Yes Bank from voting, have been left in the dark by the Bombay High Court's verdict. </li>
<li>However, Mr. Goel still continues to sit on the board which irked several investors. This indicates that the story is not over and there are still some grey areas.</li>
</ul>


The legal tussle between promoters of Dish TV India (DITV IN) and Yes Bank (YES IN) has again entered into the limelight.
The promoters of Dish TV, after repeatedly attempting to block Yes Bank from voting, have been left in the dark by the Bombay High Court's verdict. 
However, Mr. Goel still continues to sit on the board which irked several investors. This indicates that the story is not over and there are still some grey areas.


Dish TV: Promoters Left in the Dark, or Is There Something Else?

<ul>
<li>Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving credit growth (systemic growth 8.5% YoY) (2) stable margins and (3) lower credit costs.</li>
<li>Data suggests upturn in credit growth across segments (Retail and Corporate).</li>
<li>Within the Retail segment, Housing has continued to show sustained traction while unsecured credit has been improving sequentially.</li>
<li>Large private banks are expected to grow at a highe...(continued).</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving credit growth (systemic growth 8.5% YoY) (2) stable margins and (3) lower credit costs.
Data suggests upturn in credit growth across segments (Retail and Corporate).
Within the Retail segment, Housing has continued to show sustained traction while unsecured credit has been improving sequentially.
Large private banks are expected to grow at a highe...(continued).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking & Financials Sector: Credit Growth Picking Up; Lower Provisions to Drive Earnings

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

<ul>
<li>Toxity in Axis Bank's work culture confirmed by Ravi Narayanan - Group Executive, retail liabilities and branches</li>
<li>Senior executive at town hall meeting allegedly stated “employees should fight, abuse and complain amongst them [sic] for business, this is the attitude what [sic] I like”</li>
<li>Strategy of abuse so far has failed but with board's endorsement, more of the same is being implemented which may have adverse impact on performance </li>
</ul>


Toxity in Axis Bank's work culture confirmed by Ravi Narayanan - Group Executive, retail liabilities and branches
Senior executive at town hall meeting allegedly stated “employees should fight, abuse and complain amongst them [sic] for business, this is the attitude what [sic] I like”
Strategy of abuse so far has failed but with board's endorsement, more of the same is being implemented which may have adverse impact on performance 


Axis Bank’s Toxic Call to Staff to Fight, Abuse, and Undermine One Another in Pursuit of Business

India

YES BANK Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, trade finance, corporate, and business banking services. YES BANK serves the food and agribusiness, life sciences, healthcare, biotechnology, telecommunications, media, information technology, and infrastructure development industries in India.

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Yes Bank (YES IN)

Asian AT1s Part I – Our picks on Chinese G-SIBs AT1s

So far, there is no precedent on the principal of the AT1s of Chinese G- SIBs being written down or converted into equity.

CMB International

Banking & Financials Sector - Weak Treasury to Dent Earnings

We expect banks to report weak earnings due to treasury losses. We expect operating earnings of coverage banks to decline by 6.5% YoY and 11.2% QoQ...

Nirmal Bang

Dish TV: Promoters Left in the Dark, or Is There Something Else?

Yes Bank's voting in EGM has helped rest of the shareholders to dethrone Mr. Goel from the MD post. However, there are still some grey areas to be...

Nitin Mangal

Banking & Financials Sector: Credit Growth Picking Up; Lower Provisions to Drive Earnings

Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving...

Nirmal Bang

Axis Bank’s Toxic Call to Staff to Fight, Abuse, and Undermine One Another in Pursuit of Business

Strategy of abusing staff so far has failed but with board of directors' endorsement, more of the same is being implemented which may have adverse...

Hemindra Hazari

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