Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; </li>
<li>Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;</li>
<li>SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; 
Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;
SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (MIX HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chifeng-jilong-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7782:1" rel="noopener">Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988 CH)</a> might go live in the coming week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> following after.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were a few mega deals this week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Mixue Group (MIX HK) and Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988 CH) might go live in the coming week, with JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) following after.
On the placements front, there were a few mega deals this week.


ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Mixed bag with narrowing participation, widening distribution of returns but with the highest total option volume since November.</li>
<li>Option volumes over the past 2 weeks are 80% higher than the prior 3-month average.</li>
<li>Implied vols weaker across the board with 9 of 11 sectors seeing softer implieds.</li>
</ul>


Mixed bag with narrowing participation, widening distribution of returns but with the highest total option volume since November.
Option volumes over the past 2 weeks are 80% higher than the prior 3-month average.
Implied vols weaker across the board with 9 of 11 sectors seeing softer implieds.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 17 – 21): Option Volumes Surge as Rally Narrows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene (6160 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> at the close on 7 March.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.4bn (US$825m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 4 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a> is also an inclusion to a global index with implementation scheduled for the close on 21 March.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene (6160 HK) and ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK) will replace Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK) and Li Ning (2331 HK) in the HSCEI INDEX at the close on 7 March.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.4bn (US$825m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 4 March.

ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK) is also an inclusion to a global index with implementation scheduled for the close on 21 March.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Beigene, ZTO Replace Sino Biopharma, Li Ning; Surprise for Some

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>HSCEI sets a new 52-week high, helped in part by the large earnings related move from Alibaba to finish the week.</li>
<li>Implied vol struggling to keep up with the rally in spot, dropping 3 points despite Friday’s furious rally.</li>
<li>We show how the relationship between spot and vol over the past month has not been the norm compared to the previous year’s activity.</li>
</ul>


HSCEI sets a new 52-week high, helped in part by the large earnings related move from Alibaba to finish the week.
Implied vol struggling to keep up with the rally in spot, dropping 3 points despite Friday’s furious rally.
We show how the relationship between spot and vol over the past month has not been the norm compared to the previous year’s activity.


HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 17-21): Implied Vol Weak Despite Rally

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Alibaba (BABA US)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 17 – 21): Option Volumes Surge as Rally Narrows

Option volumes have surged in recent weeks, with narrowing participation and softer implied volatility in most sectors.

John Ley

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Beigene, ZTO Replace Sino Biopharma, Li Ning; Surprise for Some

Beigene and ZTO Express replace Li Ning and Sino Biopharma in the index. Yum China misses out, so Sunny Optical stays in the index. ZTO Express is...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 17-21): Implied Vol Weak Despite Rally

HSCEI hits new high with Alibaba inspired rally on Friday but implied vol lags behind spot rally for the first time in the last 3 week.

John Ley

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

​JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (February 17 – 21): Option Volumes Surge as Rally Narrows

​Option volumes have surged in recent weeks, with narrowing participation and softer implied volatility in most sectors.

John Ley

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Beigene, ZTO Replace Sino Biopharma, Li Ning; Surprise for Some

Beigene and ZTO Express replace Li Ning and Sino Biopharma in the index. Yum China misses out, so Sunny Optical stays in the index. ZTO Express is...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Options Weekly (Feb 17-21): Implied Vol Weak Despite Rally

​HSCEI hits new high with Alibaba inspired rally on Friday but implied vol lags behind spot rally for the first time in the last 3 week.

John Ley

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Option volumes have surged in recent weeks, with narrowing participation and softer implied volatility in most sectors.

HSCEI hits new high with Alibaba inspired rally on Friday but implied vol lags behind spot rally for the first time in the last 3 week.