IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).</li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dragon-crown-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18919:1" rel="noopener">Dragon Crown Group (935 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, Jin Jiang Capital.     </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) 
The lowest gross spreads CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Dragon Crown Group (935 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Jin Jiang Capital.     


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, Sezzle, Link Admin, Uniti, AKM, Virtus

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s Scheme Document flags the abolishment of the headcount test may become law ahead of the shareholder meeting. That is a game-changer. If true.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiho-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19647:1" rel="noopener">Daiho Corp (1822 JP)</a> has announced a deal which is not quite what it looks like. This situation is kind of a governance disaster.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> backs the revised Morrison/Brookfield tilt and severs ties with Macquarie</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s Scheme Document flags the abolishment of the headcount test may become law ahead of the shareholder meeting. That is a game-changer. If true.

Daiho Corp (1822 JP) has announced a deal which is not quite what it looks like. This situation is kind of a governance disaster.

Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) backs the revised Morrison/Brookfield tilt and severs ties with Macquarie


Last Week in Event SPACE: Razer, Daiho, Uniti Group, Toshiba, Tabcorp, China Conch

<ul>
<li>There are 33 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. </li>
<li>A quiet week with no new deals discussed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate (IAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown (CWN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Jin Jiang Capital (2006 HK)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


There are 33 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. 
A quiet week with no new deals discussed on Smartkarma.
Key updates took place for: Razer (1337 HK), Uniti Group (UWL AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Irongate (IAP AU), Crown (CWN AU), CIMIC (CIM AU), Jin Jiang Capital (2006 HK) 



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Uniti, Toyo Construction, Irongate, Crown, CIMIC, Jin Jiang Capital

<ul>
<li>For the month of March, five new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~31%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of March, five new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~31%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s A$13.10 offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. </li>
<li>We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s A$13.10 offer from Blackstone Group (BX US) to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  
The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. 
We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.


Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

Australia

Crown Resorts Ltd. operates and manages gaming and entertainment facilities, bars, restaurants, nightclubs, cinemas and retail outlets. The Company also develops hotels and conference centre facilities.

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Crown Resorts (CWN AU)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, Sezzle, Link Admin, Uniti, AKM, Virtus

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (22.4%), Razer (8.9%), Sezzle (7.9%), Link Admin (7.0%), Uniti Group (5.3%), AKM Industrial...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Razer, Daiho, Uniti Group, Toshiba, Tabcorp, China Conch

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Uniti, Toyo Construction, Irongate, Crown, CIMIC, Jin Jiang Capital

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: March 2022 Roundup

For the month of March, five new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn. The average premium for the new...

David Blennerhassett

Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. Scheme meeting is on 29 April. At the last close and for the 12...

Arun George

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