Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ASML guiding for growth despite a big cut in China sales a positive roadmap for JP SPE also.</li>
<li>Memory prices continue to soar as makers stop issuing spot prices due to lack of inventory.</li>
<li>A LDP-JIP alliance makes a Takaichi PM-ship more likely. Watch as the satellites continue to fly.</li>
</ul>


ASML guiding for growth despite a big cut in China sales a positive roadmap for JP SPE also.
Memory prices continue to soar as makers stop issuing spot prices due to lack of inventory.
A LDP-JIP alliance makes a Takaichi PM-ship more likely. Watch as the satellites continue to fly.


Japan Morning Connection: ASML Sets the Tone for More AI Upside to Start in Japan

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>After the recent rally, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebara-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4728:1" rel="noopener">Ebara Corp (6361 JP)</a>'s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebara-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4728:1" rel="noopener">Ebara Corp (6361 JP)</a> has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.</li>
<li>There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebara-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4728:1" rel="noopener">Ebara Corp (6361 JP)</a> since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.</li>
</ul>


After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)'s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.

Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,873m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics, Pan Pacific International, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Disco, Kintetsu, Yamada, Ihi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD17,873m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics, Pan Pacific International, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Disco, Kintetsu, Yamada, Ihi.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 3rd): IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics

<ul>
<li>No BOJ hike means bonds, banks, yen and insurance down, while defense and nuclear will do well.</li>
<li>She is seen as a China-hawk so watch for weakness in China related plays.</li>
<li>Overall expect a big leg higher for markets including in yen sensitive SPE and AI related.</li>
</ul>


No BOJ hike means bonds, banks, yen and insurance down, while defense and nuclear will do well.
She is seen as a China-hawk so watch for weakness in China related plays.
Overall expect a big leg higher for markets including in yen sensitive SPE and AI related.


Japan Morning Connection: Sakae Takaichi Win Pulls Japan to the Right

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD13,494m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Sanrio, Advantest, Softbank, Ihi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Sep 26th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD13,494m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Tokyo Electron, Nagoya Railroad, Sanrio, Advantest, Softbank, Ihi.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 26th): Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho

Japan

Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. designs, develops, and manufactures transport equipment and industrial heavy machinery for military and commercial use.  The Company produces ships, railroad cars, aircraft engines and parts, hydraulic and gas turbines, submarine engines, boilers, and industrial robots.  Kawasaki Heavy Industries offers engineering and construction services to industrial plants.

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Kawasaki Heavy Industries (7012 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: ASML Sets the Tone for More AI Upside to Start in Japan

ASML numbers sent Japanese SPE higher in the afternoon. Memory names continued higher. Defence and utilities traded better as chances look better...

Andrew Jackson

Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

Ebara should be added to a global index in November. The stock has moved higher but still trades cheaper than its peers. There has been increased...

Brian Freitas

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Oct 3rd): IHI, Nippon Steel, Nitori, Ai Robotics

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted IHI (7013 JP), Nippon Steel (5401 JP), Nitori (9843 JP), Ai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Sakae Takaichi Win Pulls Japan to the Right

Takaichi's right wing political views support a more aggressive millitary, making the heavies likely early buys. Expect utilities to do well,...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Sep 26th): Sanrio, Advantest, SoftBank, IHI, Kintetsu, Zensho

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Sanrio (8136 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), IHI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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