Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Homebuilders starting to stir, watch Sumitomo Forestry for upside squeeze potential.</li>
<li>Este Lauder continues to climb but JP names still languish as slow to react to changing trends.</li>
<li>Trump's brinkmanship continues as the 9th July tariff deadline looms.</li>
</ul>


Homebuilders starting to stir, watch Sumitomo Forestry for upside squeeze potential.
Este Lauder continues to climb but JP names still languish as slow to react to changing trends.
Trump's brinkmanship continues as the 9th July tariff deadline looms.


Japan Morning Connection: Big Pivot from Momo into Value Should See a Sharp Factor Rotation Today

<ul>
<li>US Homebuilders starting to show signs of life should help sentiment for Sumi Forestry and Sekisui.</li>
<li>Boeing move may already be priced in for Heavies but Momo still rules in Japan.</li>
<li>Softbank signaling buybacks to take a back seat over investments in ASI.</li>
</ul>


US Homebuilders starting to show signs of life should help sentiment for Sumi Forestry and Sekisui.
Boeing move may already be priced in for Heavies but Momo still rules in Japan.
Softbank signaling buybacks to take a back seat over investments in ASI.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Plateauing May See NKY Top Out for Last Day of the QTR

<ul>
<li>Masayoshi Son is floating a $1trn AI factory in Arizona in exchange for tax breaks.</li>
<li>NTT Data out, Rohm in. Downside for Ibiden, but also small buying for Fasty, Terumo, Konami and others.</li>
<li>Renesas announces details of its Wolfspeed restructuring deal which includes kitchen sinking the losses this year.</li>
</ul>


Masayoshi Son is floating a $1trn AI factory in Arizona in exchange for tax breaks.
NTT Data out, Rohm in. Downside for Ibiden, but also small buying for Fasty, Terumo, Konami and others.
Renesas announces details of its Wolfspeed restructuring deal which includes kitchen sinking the losses this year.


Japan Morning Connection: US Directly Attacks Iran and Requests Japan to Spend 5% of GDP on Defense

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since 4/22/25, we continue to believe SPX and ACWI-US likely bottomed at 4800-4820 and $101-$102 (May 13, 2025 report), and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish also.</li>
<li>We'll maintain our bullish view as long as dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115, but we do not expect these levels to be tested.</li>
<li>We expect 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US to hold as support; considering the historic run up, don't be surprised to see another week or two of consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since 4/22/25, we continue to believe SPX and ACWI-US likely bottomed at 4800-4820 and $101-$102 (May 13, 2025 report), and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish also.
We'll maintain our bullish view as long as dynamics remain healthy and SPX and ACWI-US are above 5500 and $115, but we do not expect these levels to be tested.
We expect 5700-5785 on SPX and $120-$121 on ACWI-US to hold as support; considering the historic run up, don't be surprised to see another week or two of consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

<ul>
<li>Semi's and cons disc leading way higher, Japan set for strong start.</li>
<li>Apple breaking downtrend on news its releasing a new game center to better compete against consoles.</li>
<li>Nuclear names surging again which sets a continued positive tone for heavies and related.</li>
</ul>


Semi's and cons disc leading way higher, Japan set for strong start.
Apple breaking downtrend on news its releasing a new game center to better compete against consoles.
Nuclear names surging again which sets a continued positive tone for heavies and related.


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On with Investors Liking Optimistic Tone from EU-US Talks

Japan

Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. designs, develops, and manufactures transport equipment and industrial heavy machinery for military and commercial use.  The Company produces ships, railroad cars, aircraft engines and parts, hydraulic and gas turbines, submarine engines, boilers, and industrial robots.  Kawasaki Heavy Industries offers engineering and construction services to industrial plants.

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Kawasaki Heavy Industries (7012 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Big Pivot from Momo into Value Should See a Sharp Factor Rotation Today

Homebuilders show potential for upside as market rotates; watch big momentum winners for downside. Este Lauder climbs while JP names lag behind.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Plateauing May See NKY Top Out for Last Day of the QTR

Further downside looks limited for US homebuilders, should help Sumitomo Forestry and Sekisui. Positive analyst comments lift Boeing. Softbank to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Directly Attacks Iran and Requests Japan to Spend 5% of GDP on Defense

Defense related should be supported by reports on GDP defense spending along with Trump's move to directly bomb Iranian nuclear sites. Masayoshi...

Andrew Jackson

MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

MSCI $ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade; Buying Korean Financials $WF $SHG $KB and Hana. Still Bullish, expecting...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On with Investors Liking Optimistic Tone from EU-US Talks

May be a lift for names in Japan with high EU exposures. EU defence spending increasing sentiment for anything related to nuclear plant...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Big Pivot from Momo into Value Should See a Sharp Factor Rotation Today

​Homebuilders show potential for upside as market rotates; watch big momentum winners for downside. Este Lauder climbs while JP names lag behind.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Plateauing May See NKY Top Out for Last Day of the QTR

Further downside looks limited for US homebuilders, should help Sumitomo Forestry and Sekisui. Positive analyst comments lift Boeing. Softbank to...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Directly Attacks Iran and Requests Japan to Spend 5% of GDP on Defense

Defense related should be supported by reports on GDP defense spending along with Trump's move to directly bomb Iranian nuclear sites. Masayoshi...

Andrew Jackson

MSCI ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Buying Korean Financials; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade

MSCI $ACWI Coiling Under All-Time Highs; Monitoring Europe for Downgrade; Buying Korean Financials $WF $SHG $KB and Hana. Still Bullish, expecting...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On with Investors Liking Optimistic Tone from EU-US Talks

May be a lift for names in Japan with high EU exposures. EU defence spending increasing sentiment for anything related to nuclear plant...

Andrew Jackson

Homebuilders show potential for upside as market rotates; watch big momentum winners for downside. Este Lauder climbs while JP names lag behind.