Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> has not given up on Intel Foundry Service (IFS), even though it currently lacks any sizable clients.</li>
<li>We are puzzled as to why Intel former CEO Pat Gelsinger insisted on entering the foundry market, which has so far weakened Intel’s financials without generating meaningful returns.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a> CEO has publicly stated that Intel’s manufacturing technology is still not competitive.</li>
</ul>



Intel Corp (INTC US) has not given up on Intel Foundry Service (IFS), even though it currently lacks any sizable clients.
We are puzzled as to why Intel former CEO Pat Gelsinger insisted on entering the foundry market, which has so far weakened Intel’s financials without generating meaningful returns.

Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) CEO has publicly stated that Intel’s manufacturing technology is still not competitive.


Intel (INTC.US): Qualcomm CEO Has Publicly Stated that Intel’s Technology Is Still Not Competitive.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which represents 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (9,100 won).</li>
<li>Nota's technology enables efficient operation of high-performance AI models. It has been able to develop one of the first commercially available generative AI-based intelligent video surveillance solution in Korea.</li>
<li>We estimate Nota to generate revenue of 13.8 billion won (up 65% YoY) in 2025 and 21.7 billion won (up 57% YoY) in 2026. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which represents 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (9,100 won).
Nota's technology enables efficient operation of high-performance AI models. It has been able to develop one of the first commercially available generative AI-based intelligent video surveillance solution in Korea.
We estimate Nota to generate revenue of 13.8 billion won (up 65% YoY) in 2025 and 21.7 billion won (up 57% YoY) in 2026. 


<ul>
<li>Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota specializes in lightweight and optimized artificial intelligence (AI) technology.</li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 7,600 won to 9,100 won. At this price range, the company's expected market cap is from 163 billion won to 196 billion won. </li>
<li>Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.</li>
</ul>


Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota specializes in lightweight and optimized artificial intelligence (AI) technology.
The IPO price range is from 7,600 won to 9,100 won. At this price range, the company's expected market cap is from 163 billion won to 196 billion won. 
Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.


AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>SoftBank widens its AI bet with a $2B stake in Intel, suffers a 12% dip over two consecutive days.</li>
<li>Nvidia’s dominance has hyperscalers wary of lock-in. With Amazon and Microsoft building their chips, SoftBank’s move lands right as the market searches for alternatives.</li>
<li>Can Son replicate Intel’s historic design-fab alignment in AI, or would execution risk outweigh his ecosystem-diversification logic?</li>
</ul>


SoftBank widens its AI bet with a $2B stake in Intel, suffers a 12% dip over two consecutive days.
Nvidia’s dominance has hyperscalers wary of lock-in. With Amazon and Microsoft building their chips, SoftBank’s move lands right as the market searches for alternatives.
Can Son replicate Intel’s historic design-fab alignment in AI, or would execution risk outweigh his ecosystem-diversification logic?


Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei previously emphasized that customer demand for 2nm technology surpasses that for 3nm, and the company is actively working to expand production capacity. </li>
<li>For 2nm technology, we expect production to take place at the Tainan fab, ahead of the U.S. Arizona fab and earlier than the previously anticipated 2028 timeline.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)'</a>s next generation 2nm development is actively progressing.</li>
</ul>


TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei previously emphasized that customer demand for 2nm technology surpasses that for 3nm, and the company is actively working to expand production capacity. 
For 2nm technology, we expect production to take place at the Tainan fab, ahead of the U.S. Arizona fab and earlier than the previously anticipated 2028 timeline.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)'s next generation 2nm development is actively progressing.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

Intel (INTC.US): Qualcomm CEO Has Publicly Stated that Intel’s Technology Is Still Not Competitive.

Intel has so far weakened its IFS financials without generating meaningful returns, while Qualcomm has publicly stated Intel’s manufacturing...

Patrick Liao

Nota IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which represents 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range...

Douglas Kim

Nota IPO Preview

Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance...

Douglas Kim

Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...

Mint Finance

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.

Patrick Liao

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Intel (INTC.US): Qualcomm CEO Has Publicly Stated that Intel’s Technology Is Still Not Competitive.

Intel has so far weakened its IFS financials without generating meaningful returns, while Qualcomm has publicly stated Intel’s manufacturing...

Patrick Liao

Nota IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which represents 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range...

Douglas Kim

Nota IPO Preview

Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance...

Douglas Kim

Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

​SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...

Mint Finance

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2nm Production Schedule in US Could Be One Year Ahead of Previous Schedule.

​TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.

Patrick Liao

SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...

TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei prioritizes 2nm technology over 3nm due to high customer demand, with production expected at Tainan fab ahead of schedule.