AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Political scrutiny and perception issues form a tense backdrop ahead of Tan’s Oval Office meeting.</li>
<li>Strategic rifts over investment pace, 14A development, and fab build-outs are at the heart of the discussion.</li>
<li>The meeting’s outcome may hinge on whether Tan can align Intel’s roadmap with Trump’s manufacturing agenda.</li>
</ul>


Political scrutiny and perception issues form a tense backdrop ahead of Tan’s Oval Office meeting.
Strategic rifts over investment pace, 14A development, and fab build-outs are at the heart of the discussion.
The meeting’s outcome may hinge on whether Tan can align Intel’s roadmap with Trump’s manufacturing agenda.


What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discussion of infrastructure capex as a percentage of US GDP by era, highlighting the current rate of 1.2%</li><li>Comparison of current bubble dynamics to past bubbles, noting that the current bubble is not as excessive as previous ones</li><li>Debate over whether the current investment cycle is a bubble or a strong investment cycle, with concerns about speculative investments and emotional factors leading to potential overvaluation in the future</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Discussion of infrastructure capex as a percentage of US GDP by era, highlighting the current rate of 1.2%Comparison of current bubble dynamics to past bubbles, noting that the current bubble is not as excessive as previous onesDebate over whether the current investment cycle is a bubble or a strong investment cycle, with concerns about speculative investments and emotional factors leading to potential overvaluation in the futureThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

EP 129: Capex to the Moon 2.0! Bubble Debate, and QCOM and Arm Earnings

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>On 28 July, it was reported that Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) clinched a huge chip contract worth $16.5 billion from Tesla (TSLA US). </li>
<li>This is a major win for Samsung Electronics since it is one of the largest foundry orders for the company from a single customer in the past decade.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at P/E of 12.3x, P/B of 1.0x, and EV/EBITDA of 3.6x in 2026, based on consensus estimates.</li>
</ul>


On 28 July, it was reported that Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) clinched a huge chip contract worth $16.5 billion from Tesla (TSLA US). 
This is a major win for Samsung Electronics since it is one of the largest foundry orders for the company from a single customer in the past decade.
Samsung Electronics is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at P/E of 12.3x, P/B of 1.0x, and EV/EBITDA of 3.6x in 2026, based on consensus estimates.


Samsung Electronics Clinches a Huge Chip Contract from Tesla

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.</li>
<li>The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?</li>
<li>For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.</li>
</ul>


IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.
The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?
For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We Engaged with Kinik Recently to Get Insight on Activity Strength for TSMC's Expansion into Nodes 2nm and Below</li>
<li>Diamond Tooling: Quietly Powering Advanced Logic; Kinik Recently Running at Max Capacity for Key DBU Business Segment... also at 100% for SBU Segment</li>
<li>Takeaways -- Kinik as a Concentrated Play on Advanced Node Transitions... Also, We Believe Signs Remain Positive for TSMC's Recent Activity Momentum</li>
</ul>


We Engaged with Kinik Recently to Get Insight on Activity Strength for TSMC's Expansion into Nodes 2nm and Below
Diamond Tooling: Quietly Powering Advanced Logic; Kinik Recently Running at Max Capacity for Key DBU Business Segment... also at 100% for SBU Segment
Takeaways -- Kinik as a Concentrated Play on Advanced Node Transitions... Also, We Believe Signs Remain Positive for TSMC's Recent Activity Momentum


TechChain Insights: Kinik - The Hidden Enabler Behind TSMC’s Sub-2nm Push

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.

Mint Finance

EP 129: Capex to the Moon 2.0! Bubble Debate, and QCOM and Arm Earnings

The current tech bubble in the US has some similarities to past bubbles but also unique characteristics, with infrastructure investment playing a...

The Circuit

Samsung Electronics Clinches a Huge Chip Contract from Tesla

On 28 July, it was reported that Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) clinched a huge chip contract worth $16.5 billion from Tesla (TSLA US). We...

Douglas Kim

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...

Nicolas Baratte

TechChain Insights: Kinik - The Hidden Enabler Behind TSMC’s Sub-2nm Push

Insight from Kinik suggests positive momentum for TSMC's expansion into nodes 2nm and below, with Kinik running at max capacity for key business...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

​Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.

Mint Finance

EP 129: Capex to the Moon 2.0! Bubble Debate, and QCOM and Arm Earnings

The current tech bubble in the US has some similarities to past bubbles but also unique characteristics, with infrastructure investment playing a...

The Circuit

Samsung Electronics Clinches a Huge Chip Contract from Tesla

On 28 July, it was reported that Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) clinched a huge chip contract worth $16.5 billion from Tesla (TSLA US). We...

Douglas Kim

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

​2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...

Nicolas Baratte

TechChain Insights: Kinik - The Hidden Enabler Behind TSMC’s Sub-2nm Push

​Insight from Kinik suggests positive momentum for TSMC's expansion into nodes 2nm and below, with Kinik running at max capacity for key business...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tensions rise as Intel CEO Tan prepares to meet with Trump, facing strategic differences over investments and manufacturing alignment.

2Q25 smartphone estimates show slight YoY increase in units, but market is flat or declining. Semiconductor firms see ASP increases, while...

Insight from Kinik suggests positive momentum for TSMC's expansion into nodes 2nm and below, with Kinik running at max capacity for key business...