Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).</li>
<li>Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold</li>
<li>The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS</li>
</ul>


We downgraded our near-term outlook on SPX and QQQ to neutral last week (11/19/25), after being bullish since 4/22/25, while we maintained our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of 5/14/25).
Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are back to being near-term bullish as long as these supports continue to hold
The latest pullback offers an attractive entry point into all the speculative growth areas that we were pounding the table on since May, WITH A STOP AT LAST WEEKS LOWS


Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.55% yesterday, supported by continued strength in US technology stocks.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.55% yesterday, supported by continued strength in US technology stocks.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 12, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul><li>We recommend closing the AMZN80 position with a 0.7% gain after it dropped out of our scoring criteria and opening a new position in NVDA80, which tracks NVIDIA Corporation, a leading US technology stock.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US government shutdown.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

We recommend closing the AMZN80 position with a 0.7% gain after it dropped out of our scoring criteria and opening a new position in NVDA80, which tracks NVIDIA Corporation, a leading US technology stock.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US government shutdown.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 11, 2025 (Eng.)

<ul><li>For today’s KTX Tactical DR Picks, we recommend taking profit on NVDA80 after a 20.2% gain, while maintaining positions in 11 DRs primarily focused on global technology stocks, especially in the US.</li><li>The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.45% from the previous day, as global markets rose following the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut announcement.</li><li>Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.</li></ul>

For today’s KTX Tactical DR Picks, we recommend taking profit on NVDA80 after a 20.2% gain, while maintaining positions in 11 DRs primarily focused on global technology stocks, especially in the US.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.45% from the previous day, as global markets rose following the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut announcement.Our study using the KTX Fundamental USD/THB Tracker indicates that the baht is currently excessively weak.

KTX Tactical DR Picks - October 30, 2025 (Eng.)

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia CEO said he has a $500bn AI order book. If over the next 7 quarters, it means growth will remain at ~60% YoY till Apr-27. No slowdown. That’s possible.</li>
<li>If it’s over the next 5 quarters (which is what he actually said), it’s enormous growth reaching ~200% YoY in 2H26. I doubt that the supply chain can do that.</li>
<li>Consensus is the lowest with most room for upside: Memory stocks. Consensus too low by ~20%: Nvidia. Just a it too low: TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia CEO said he has a $500bn AI order book. If over the next 7 quarters, it means growth will remain at ~60% YoY till Apr-27. No slowdown. That’s possible.
If it’s over the next 5 quarters (which is what he actually said), it’s enormous growth reaching ~200% YoY in 2H26. I doubt that the supply chain can do that.
Consensus is the lowest with most room for upside: Memory stocks. Consensus too low by ~20%: Nvidia. Just a it too low: TSMC.


Nvidia Jensen’s $500bn: What Did He Say Exactly? What Does It Mean for Supply Chain Forecasts?

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 12, 2025 (Eng.)

We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 11, 2025 (Eng.)

he KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - October 30, 2025 (Eng.)

The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.45% from the previous day, as global markets rose following the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut announcement.

Krungthai XSpring

Nvidia Jensen’s $500bn: What Did He Say Exactly? What Does It Mean for Supply Chain Forecasts?

Nvidia CEO predicts massive AI growth potential, with orders reaching $500bn and potential for 60% YoY growth till Apr-27

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and Nasdaq 100; Supports Held at SPX 6480-6520 and QQQ $580-583

Back to Near-Term Bullish on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 $NDX; Crucial Supports Held at 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on $QQQ, we are near-term bullish as...

Vermilion Research

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 12, 2025 (Eng.)

We recommend selling MITSU19 with a holding-period return of +1.95%, and adding PINGAN80 in its place.The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - November 11, 2025 (Eng.)

he KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio rose 0.51% from the previous day, supported by improved sentiment following easing concerns over the US...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Tactical DR Picks - October 30, 2025 (Eng.)

The KTX DR Tactical Picks portfolio gained 0.45% from the previous day, as global markets rose following the Fed’s 0.25% rate cut announcement.

Krungthai XSpring

Nvidia Jensen’s $500bn: What Did He Say Exactly? What Does It Mean for Supply Chain Forecasts?

​Nvidia CEO predicts massive AI growth potential, with orders reaching $500bn and potential for 60% YoY growth till Apr-27

Nicolas Baratte

Nvidia CEO predicts massive AI growth potential, with orders reaching $500bn and potential for 60% YoY growth till Apr-27