Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.</li>
<li>Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has recovered from its drawdown during the Iran war and is now trading above its long-term support levels.  Energy remains the top-performing sector YTD.
Value and dividend factors continue to provide the best returns in Hong Kong; momentum has returned since the beginning of April.


Lenovo (992 HK) had a reversal breakout technical pattern from a U-shaped bottom.  The company is benefiting from growth in both the AI and data center industries.  



Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: AAC Technologies, Vedanta Resources, Hanwha TotalEnergies</li>
<li>UST yields climbed on Friday in a holiday-shortened session, following the release of stronger than expected March nonfarm payroll numbers. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.84%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.34%.</li>
<li>Equities closed slightly higher on Thursday, as investors focused on the potential re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,583 and 21,879, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: AAC Technologies, Vedanta Resources, Hanwha TotalEnergies
UST yields climbed on Friday in a holiday-shortened session, following the release of stronger than expected March nonfarm payroll numbers. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.84%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.34%.
Equities closed slightly higher on Thursday, as investors focused on the potential re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,583 and 21,879, respectively.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AAC's FY25 revenue/net profit (+16%/+40% YoY) are broadly in-line with our/consensus estimates, driven by improving profitability in optics and robust growth in auto/thermal businesses, despite weaker GPM dragged by acoustics margin.</li><li>During earnings call, mgmt. provided detailed positive 2026 guidance, (16-17% YoY as in 2025, stable GPM), new growth drivers (thermal/auto/XR/AI hardware) and opportunity in AI server thermal M&amp;A, which should ease market concerns on 2026 growth outlook amid smartphone headwinds.</li><li>We adjusted our estimates to reflect FY25 results, industry headwinds and stronger thermal/ optics/auto business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AAC's FY25 revenue/net profit (+16%/+40% YoY) are broadly in-line with our/consensus estimates, driven by improving profitability in optics and robust growth in auto/thermal businesses, despite weaker GPM dragged by acoustics margin.During earnings call, mgmt. provided detailed positive 2026 guidance, (16-17% YoY as in 2025, stable GPM), new growth drivers (thermal/auto/XR/AI hardware) and opportunity in AI server thermal M&amp;A, which should ease market concerns on 2026 growth outlook amid smartphone headwinds.We adjusted our estimates to reflect FY25 results, industry headwinds and stronger thermal/ optics/auto business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AAC Tech (2018 HK) - Auto/Thermal/Edge AI and Margin Recovery to Drive Earnings Growth in 2026-27E

Leonard Law, CFA

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Jinmao, AAC Technologies</li>
<li>The UST curve twisted slightly flatter yesterday. Long-end yields declined marginally, as oil prices stabilised after the US approved the sale of Russian crude and petroleum that were loaded on “any vessel” on or before March 12th. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 4.25%.</li>
<li>Equities ended lower, albeit steeper declines earlier in the day were pared alongside stabilising oil prices and after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he sees the war “ending a lot faster than people think".</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Jinmao, AAC Technologies
The UST curve twisted slightly flatter yesterday. Long-end yields declined marginally, as oil prices stabilised after the US approved the sale of Russian crude and petroleum that were loaded on “any vessel” on or before March 12th. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 4.25%.
Equities ended lower, albeit steeper declines earlier in the day were pared alongside stabilising oil prices and after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he sees the war “ending a lot faster than people think".


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite</li>
<li>Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?</li>
<li>Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?</li>
</ul>


Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite
Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?
Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?


Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

China

AAC Technologies is a leading provider of sensory experience solutions for smart devices. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes miniaturized components, including acoustics products, haptic devices, optical lenses, camera modules, and micro electro-mechanical systems (MEMS). It primarily serves the consumer electronics market, with an expanding presence in intelligent vehicles, AR/VR, robotics, and IoT sectors. AAC Technologies was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, People's Republic of China.

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AAC Technologies (2018 HK)

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (April 2026)

We highlighted Lenovo's significant technical breakout pattern in our April insight, and the shares have more than doubled since the report....

David Mudd

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: AAC Technologies, Vedanta Resources, Hanwha...

Lucror Analytics

AAC Tech (2018 HK) - Auto/Thermal/Edge AI and Margin Recovery to Drive Earnings Growth in 2026-27E

Our new SOTP-based TP of HK$55.27 implies 20.0x rollover FY26E P/E. Near-term catalysts include AI phone/glasses launch, AR optical waveguides ramp...

CMB International

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Jinmao, AAC Technologies

Lucror Analytics

Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

$769 has lagged other rare earth plays but it is now up 100% in two days. We would look to sell half and keep the rest as a free ride. Hard...

Rikki Malik

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