IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 7 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding proposal from Ki Corporation and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/public-storage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18193:1" rel="noopener">Public Storage (PSA US)</a> at A$1.47, a 26.7% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>While below NTA (implying a P/NTA of 0.92x), the offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. It represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>A binding offer is conditional on due diligence (expected to take six weeks) and Board recommendation. The Board should work to secure a binding offer closer to NTA.   </li>
</ul>


On 7 April, Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) disclosed a non-binding proposal from Ki Corporation and Public Storage (PSA US) at A$1.47, a 26.7% premium to the undisturbed price.
While below NTA (implying a P/NTA of 0.92x), the offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. It represents an all-time high. 
A binding offer is conditional on due diligence (expected to take six weeks) and Board recommendation. The Board should work to secure a binding offer closer to NTA.   


Abacus Storage King (ASK AU): Ki Corp/Public Storage’s NBIO at A$1.47

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> was demerged from Abacus Property Group in 2023 and the stock has traded in a range since listing.</li>
<li>Now, Ki Corp and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/public-storage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18193:1" rel="noopener">Public Storage (PSA US)</a> have made a conditional and non-binding proposal to take <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> private at A$1.47/share.</li>
<li>The offer is a 27% premium to the last close of the stock and is higher than the price that the stock has traded at since listing.</li>
</ul>



Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) was demerged from Abacus Property Group in 2023 and the stock has traded in a range since listing.
Now, Ki Corp and Public Storage (PSA US) have made a conditional and non-binding proposal to take Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) private at A$1.47/share.
The offer is a 27% premium to the last close of the stock and is higher than the price that the stock has traded at since listing.


Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) Gets an NBIO from Ki Corp & PSA

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube Holdings (QUB AU)</a> from Macquarie should really get competitive. Scarce and strategic assets  - and nothing else like it that's listed. </li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1697:1" rel="noopener">Digital Holdings (2389 JP)</a> goes higher, "This is Japan" risk increases; but those who didn't sign up say "wait a minute, that's real money" also goes up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:606:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Resorts (WYNN US)</a> is at extreme levels vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-macau-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:473:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK)</a>; yet consensus indicates considerably higher forward EBITDA growth for Resorts stub ops vs. Macau.</li>
</ul>


This deal for Qube Holdings (QUB AU) from Macquarie should really get competitive. Scarce and strategic assets  - and nothing else like it that's listed. 
As Digital Holdings (2389 JP) goes higher, "This is Japan" risk increases; but those who didn't sign up say "wait a minute, that's real money" also goes up.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN US) is at extreme levels vs. Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK); yet consensus indicates considerably higher forward EBITDA growth for Resorts stub ops vs. Macau.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Qube Holdings, Digital Holdings, Wynn Resorts/Macau, SNT/SMEC

<ul>
<li>I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were  discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qube-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:958:1" rel="noopener">Qube Holdings (QUB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monash-ivf-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18130:1" rel="noopener">Monash IVF (MVF AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iress-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15342:1" rel="noopener">Iress Ltd (IRE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1697:1" rel="noopener">Digital Holdings Inc (2389 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grindr-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37106:1" rel="noopener">Grindr (GRND US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were  discussed on Smartkarma this week: Qube Holdings (QUB AU), Monash IVF (MVF AU), and National Storage REIT (NSR AU).
Key updates/news also took place on: Iress Ltd (IRE AU), ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK), Digital Holdings Inc (2389 JP), and Grindr (GRND US).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Mandom, Monash IVF, National Storage REIT, Iress, Digital Holdings, Grindr

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a> has received a non-binding proposal from Brookfield and GIC at A$2.86 per unit, a 26.5% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The Board has granted exclusive due diligence until 7 December. A scheme offer would be conditional on FIRB, NZ OIO and ACCC approval. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive as it represents an all-time high and implies a P/NTA of 1.11x. The short exclusivity period increases the odds of a binding proposal.</li>
</ul>



National Storage REIT (NSR AU) has received a non-binding proposal from Brookfield and GIC at A$2.86 per unit, a 26.5% premium to the undisturbed price.
The Board has granted exclusive due diligence until 7 December. A scheme offer would be conditional on FIRB, NZ OIO and ACCC approval. 
The offer is attractive as it represents an all-time high and implies a P/NTA of 1.11x. The short exclusivity period increases the odds of a binding proposal.


National Storage REIT (NSR AU): Brookfield and GIC’s Attractive NBIO at A$2.86

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Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)