External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted</li><li>New NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in ordering</li><li>We expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained mutedNew NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in orderingWe expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we review the recent performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6440:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> </li>
<li>Most companies have performed in line with our expectations, except for Polycab, which has exceeded our performance expectations.</li>
<li>We continue to favour ABB over Siemens (ABB/SIEM), Polycab over Havells (POLYCAB/HAVL)</li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we review the recent performance of ABB India Ltd (ABB IN), Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN), Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN) 
Most companies have performed in line with our expectations, except for Polycab, which has exceeded our performance expectations.
We continue to favour ABB over Siemens (ABB/SIEM), Polycab over Havells (POLYCAB/HAVL)


India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells

<ul><li>ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%</li><li>However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levels</li><li>This was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levelsThis was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

<ul><li>FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four projects (vs ten projects in Q1FY23), of which two were HAM projects worth INR 20.6bn (vs nine projects worth INR 98.1bn in Q1FY23) and two were EPC projects worth INR 19.4bn (vs one project worth INR 7.7bn in Q1FY23)</li><li>The total project stretch stood at ~104 km (vs ~367 km in Q1FY23)</li><li>All the projects were bid at a discount over the NHAI cost</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four projects (vs ten projects in Q1FY23), of which two were HAM projects worth INR 20.6bn (vs nine projects worth INR 98.1bn in Q1FY23) and two were EPC projects worth INR 19.4bn (vs one project worth INR 7.7bn in Q1FY23)The total project stretch stood at ~104 km (vs ~367 km in Q1FY23)All the projects were bid at a discount over the NHAI costContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

India

ABB India Limited undertakes engineering and construction projects and manufactures heavy engineering and industrial equipment. The Company undertakes projects in the field of energy production, power transmission, transportation, process automation and pollution control. ABB India's products include pollution control equipment, switch gears and high current rectifiers.

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ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted

HDFC Securities

India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells

In this analysis, we assess ABB IN, SIEM IN, POLYCAB IN, and HAVL IN. Most are on par with expectations, except Polycab, which exceeded them. Our...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%. However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT...

HDFC Securities

Industrials: Muted start for the year

FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four...

HDFC Securities

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

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