External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The NHAI ordering stayed below the FY23 target, competitive intensity cooling-off, commodities stable: In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bn</li><li>With this, the NHAI awarded c.3,750 km in FY23 (vs a target of 6,500 km), with 75 HAM projects worth INR 655bn and 31 EPC projects worth INR 361bn</li><li>Competitive intensity cooled off with average L1 costs at a 5.6% premium over the average NHAI costs in Q4FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NHAI ordering stayed below the FY23 target, competitive intensity cooling-off, commodities stable: In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bnWith this, the NHAI awarded c.3,750 km in FY23 (vs a target of 6,500 km), with 75 HAM projects worth INR 655bn and 31 EPC projects worth INR 361bnCompetitive intensity cooled off with average L1 costs at a 5.6% premium over the average NHAI costs in Q4FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials -  Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

Industrials - Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

<ul><li>The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trn</li><li>Ordering seems to have spilt over to FY24 with our checks suggesting ~INR 350bn of bids expected to be awarded during early H1FY24</li><li>During the year, HAM continued to be its preferred mode of awarding with 75/31/3 projects awarded on HAM/EPC/another basis</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trnOrdering seems to have spilt over to FY24 with our checks suggesting ~INR 350bn of bids expected to be awarded during early H1FY24During the year, HAM continued to be its preferred mode of awarding with 75/31/3 projects awarded on HAM/EPC/another basisContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Infrastructure: Stable awarding; calibrated aggression

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>On 17 February, NSE Indices announced the results of the March index review for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. There are 5 adds and 5 deletes. </li>
<li>Last evening, NSE Indices announced a change in the index methodology where the cumulative weight of non-F&amp;O stocks in the index will be capped at 10% (down from 15% earlier).</li>
<li>This changes the flows at the March rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 March.</li>
</ul>


On 17 February, NSE Indices announced the results of the March index review for the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). There are 5 adds and 5 deletes. 
Last evening, NSE Indices announced a change in the index methodology where the cumulative weight of non-F&amp;O stocks in the index will be capped at 10% (down from 15% earlier).
This changes the flows at the March rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 29 March.


NIFTY NEXT50 /​ NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: Flows Change as Index Capping Methodology Changes

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The March 2023 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 17th February 2023.</li>
<li>In my previous insights, I highlighted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> as a potential ADD for NIFTY 50 but it will not be added in March 2023. There are no changes.</li>
<li>However, for NIFTY 100 (&amp; NIFTY Next 50), 4/5 Expected ADDs and 5/5 Expected DELs were predicted correctly.</li>
</ul>


The March 2023 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 17th February 2023.
In my previous insights, I highlighted Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) as a potential ADD for NIFTY 50 but it will not be added in March 2023. There are no changes.
However, for NIFTY 100 (&amp; NIFTY Next 50), 4/5 Expected ADDs and 5/5 Expected DELs were predicted correctly.


NIFTY Mar 23 Rebal: Quiddity Flow Expectations

India

ABB India Limited undertakes engineering and construction projects and manufactures heavy engineering and industrial equipment. The Company undertakes projects in the field of energy production, power transmission, transportation, process automation and pollution control. ABB India's products include pollution control equipment, switch gears and high current rectifiers.

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ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)

Industrials - Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bn

HDFC Securities

Industrials - Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bn

HDFC Securities

Infrastructure: Stable awarding; calibrated aggression

The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trn

HDFC Securities

NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: Flows Change as Index Capping Methodology Changes

NSE Indices announced a change in the index methodology where the cumulative weight of non-F&O stocks in the index will be capped at 10% (down from...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Mar 23 Rebal: Quiddity Flow Expectations

Most of the index changes were flagged very early in the reference period and have been in Quiddity's radar since October 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Industrials - Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bn

HDFC Securities

Industrials - Stable Awards, Pick-Up in Execution

In Q4FY23, the NHAI awarded 74 projects, of which 55 were HAM projects worth INR 455bn and 16 were EPC projects worth INR 215bn

HDFC Securities

Infrastructure: Stable awarding; calibrated aggression

The NHAI had set a target of awarding 6,500 km in FY23, of which it awarded ~3,750 Km (vs 6,306 Km in FY22) at an NHAI cost of INR 1trn

HDFC Securities

NIFTY NEXT50 /​ NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: Flows Change as Index Capping Methodology Changes

NSE Indices announced a change in the index methodology where the cumulative weight of non-F&O stocks in the index will be capped at 10% (down from...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Mar 23 Rebal: Quiddity Flow Expectations

Most of the index changes were flagged very early in the reference period and have been in Quiddity's radar since October 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: Flows Change as Index Capping Methodology Changes