Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we review the recent performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6440:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>ABB posted a strong start, SIEM has a black dot with respect to its recent sale of subsidiary. POLYCAB continues to perform, and HAVL is back to capex mode. </li>
<li>Our picks remain the same, ABB instead of SIEM, POLYCAB instead of HAVL.</li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we review the recent performance of ABB India Ltd (ABB IN) , Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN) , Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN). 
ABB posted a strong start, SIEM has a black dot with respect to its recent sale of subsidiary. POLYCAB continues to perform, and HAVL is back to capex mode. 
Our picks remain the same, ABB instead of SIEM, POLYCAB instead of HAVL.


India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB, SIEM, HAVELLS, POLYCAB

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>AIL reported revenue growth of 7.0% YoY in Q4FY23 (vs. our expectations of 10.7% YoY), which stood below the IPM growth of 11.0% (IPM: Indian Pharma Industry, Source: AIOCD).</li><li>A product mix change, higher proportion towards Anti Diabetic segment, Mixtard and Novomix reported growth of 4.0% and -1.1% on YoY respctively led to lower topline growth.</li><li>Further, growth in other key therapies like Gasteroinsteinal (+11.4% YoY) and Hormones (+27.4% YoY) similar to IPM growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIL reported revenue growth of 7.0% YoY in Q4FY23 (vs. our expectations of 10.7% YoY), which stood below the IPM growth of 11.0% (IPM: Indian Pharma Industry, Source: AIOCD).A product mix change, higher proportion towards Anti Diabetic segment, Mixtard and Novomix reported growth of 4.0% and -1.1% on YoY respctively led to lower topline growth.Further, growth in other key therapies like Gasteroinsteinal (+11.4% YoY) and Hormones (+27.4% YoY) similar to IPM growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Abbott India Ltd - Missed on Topline Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%</li><li>The company achieved a strong Q1CY24 order inflow at INR 36bn (+15%/+14% YoY/QoQ), taking the backlog to INR 89bn</li><li>Base Q1CY24 order inflows grew 3% YoY to INR 32.3bn and a large data centre order aided growth with inflows growing 15% YoY to INR 36.1bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%The company achieved a strong Q1CY24 order inflow at INR 36bn (+15%/+14% YoY/QoQ), taking the backlog to INR 89bnBase Q1CY24 order inflows grew 3% YoY to INR 32.3bn and a large data centre order aided growth with inflows growing 15% YoY to INR 36.1bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Thermax, Aarti Industries, Karur Vysya Bank

<ul><li>NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity remained muted</li><li>FY24 was a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 330bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)</li><li>NHAI is re-modelling the award mix towards BOT toll with INR 2trn worth of projects being envisaged to be bid out under this model, which seems to be a tall ask</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity remained mutedFY24 was a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 330bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)NHAI is re-modelling the award mix towards BOT toll with INR 2trn worth of projects being envisaged to be bid out under this model, which seems to be a tall askContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Strong Ordering Ex-Roads

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

India

ABB India Limited undertakes engineering and construction projects and manufactures heavy engineering and industrial equipment. The Company undertakes projects in the field of energy production, power transmission, transportation, process automation and pollution control. ABB India's products include pollution control equipment, switch gears and high current rectifiers.

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ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)

India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB, SIEM, HAVELLS, POLYCAB

ABB strong, SIEM's subsidiary sale a concern. POLYCAB performing, HAVL in capex mode. Picks: ABB over SIEM, POLYCAB over HAVL.

Pranav Bhavsar

Abbott India Ltd - Missed on Topline Growth

AIL reported revenue growth of 7.0% YoY in Q4FY23 (vs. our expectations of 10.7% YoY), which stood below the IPM growth of 11.0% (IPM: Indian...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Thermax, Aarti Industries, Karur Vysya Bank

ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Strong Ordering Ex-Roads

NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity...

HDFC Securities

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

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India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB, SIEM, HAVELLS, POLYCAB

ABB strong, SIEM's subsidiary sale a concern. POLYCAB performing, HAVL in capex mode. Picks: ABB over SIEM, POLYCAB over HAVL.

Pranav Bhavsar

Abbott India Ltd - Missed on Topline Growth

AIL reported revenue growth of 7.0% YoY in Q4FY23 (vs. our expectations of 10.7% YoY), which stood below the IPM growth of 11.0% (IPM: Indian...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Thermax, Aarti Industries, Karur Vysya Bank

ABB India: ABB reported its best-ever quarter with revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 30.8/5.6/4.5bn, beating our estimates by 9.5/37.6/35%

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Strong Ordering Ex-Roads

NHAI’s FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect pick-up from H2FY25: With minimal awarding activity in Q4FY24, the overall FY24 awarding activity...

HDFC Securities

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...