External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)</li><li>The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ Way</li><li>We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capex</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI has delivered a very successful highway program, following the advent of Bharatmala (BM-1)The huge scaling up of the NH program in terms of getting the model right, awarding, executing, financing, creating a highly competitive vendor ecosystem, and monetizing assets is no mean task and involves significant execution complexities that could have only been handled by the N’HAI’ WayWe have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards as NHAI is capable of meeting its debt commitments on its own and solely relying on budgetary support for additional NH capexContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted</li><li>New NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in ordering</li><li>We expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NHAI’s H1FY24 awarding activity is muted, expect a pick-up in Q3FY24: With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained mutedNew NHAI project DPRs are currently under finalisation, which has caused a delay in orderingWe expect FY24 to be a truncated year for ordering with ~INR 500bn worth of project awards (vs average INR 1.2trn for the previous year)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we review the recent performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6440:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> </li>
<li>Most companies have performed in line with our expectations, except for Polycab, which has exceeded our performance expectations.</li>
<li>We continue to favour ABB over Siemens (ABB/SIEM), Polycab over Havells (POLYCAB/HAVL)</li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we review the recent performance of ABB India Ltd (ABB IN), Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN), Polycab India (POLYCAB IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN) 
Most companies have performed in line with our expectations, except for Polycab, which has exceeded our performance expectations.
We continue to favour ABB over Siemens (ABB/SIEM), Polycab over Havells (POLYCAB/HAVL)


India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells

<ul><li>ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%</li><li>However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levels</li><li>This was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levelsThis was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

<ul><li>FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four projects (vs ten projects in Q1FY23), of which two were HAM projects worth INR 20.6bn (vs nine projects worth INR 98.1bn in Q1FY23) and two were EPC projects worth INR 19.4bn (vs one project worth INR 7.7bn in Q1FY23)</li><li>The total project stretch stood at ~104 km (vs ~367 km in Q1FY23)</li><li>All the projects were bid at a discount over the NHAI cost</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four projects (vs ten projects in Q1FY23), of which two were HAM projects worth INR 20.6bn (vs nine projects worth INR 98.1bn in Q1FY23) and two were EPC projects worth INR 19.4bn (vs one project worth INR 7.7bn in Q1FY23)The total project stretch stood at ~104 km (vs ~367 km in Q1FY23)All the projects were bid at a discount over the NHAI costContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

ABB India Limited undertakes engineering and construction projects and manufactures heavy engineering and industrial equipment. The Company undertakes projects in the field of energy production, power transmission, transportation, process automation and pollution control. ABB India's products include pollution control equipment, switch gears and high current rectifiers.

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ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)

Industrials: N’HAI’ Way

We have done an in-depth analysis of the NHAI financial model and believe that concerns about debt may get tackled from FY31 onwards

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lacking triggers

With minimal awarding activity in Q2FY24 and just four projects in Q1FY24, the overall H1FY24 awarding activity remained muted

HDFC Securities

India Industrials | Quarterly Update - ABB India, Siemens, Polycab and Havells

In this analysis, we assess ABB IN, SIEM IN, POLYCAB IN, and HAVL IN. Most are on par with expectations, except Polycab, which exceeded them. Our...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%. However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT...

HDFC Securities

Industrials: Muted start for the year

FY24 started off with a muted quarter in terms of road project awarding amidst high competitive intensity: In Q1FY24, the NHAI awarded just four...

HDFC Securities

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