Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). </li>
<li>With that said, QQQ violated $695 support, a concerning sign; $681-$686 support must hold on QQQ or we will downgrade it.</li>
<li>We continue to believe a consolidation or a continuation of short-term downtrends is likely through mid-to-late-August amid choppy price action for semiconductors (SOXX), memory (DRAM), and optical equipment/photonics (EUV) names.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). 
With that said, QQQ violated $695 support, a concerning sign; $681-$686 support must hold on QQQ or we will downgrade it.
We continue to believe a consolidation or a continuation of short-term downtrends is likely through mid-to-late-August amid choppy price action for semiconductors (SOXX), memory (DRAM), and optical equipment/photonics (EUV) names.


Upgrading Health Care and Consumer Staples to Market Weight; Monitoring Tech for a Downgrade

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis</li>
<li>The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.</li>
<li>Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.</li>
</ul>


IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis
The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.
Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.


IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 12.0x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x.</li><li>Segment wise, consumer staple (FMCG) is trading at 2025 PE of 14.9x vs. 10-year average of 23.29x, pharmaceutical is trading at 2025 PE of 13.6x vs. 10-year average PE of 17.71x and consumer discretionary is trading at PE of 7.9x vs. 10-year average PE of 13.08x.</li><li>Sector witnessed 5-year and 10-years sales/profit CAGR of 20%/25% and 14%/15% respectively while a D/Y of 6% in 2025.</li></ul>

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 12.0x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x.Segment wise, consumer staple (FMCG) is trading at 2025 PE of 14.9x vs. 10-year average of 23.29x, pharmaceutical is trading at 2025 PE of 13.6x vs. 10-year average PE of 17.71x and consumer discretionary is trading at PE of 7.9x vs. 10-year average PE of 13.08x.Sector witnessed 5-year and 10-years sales/profit CAGR of 20%/25% and 14%/15% respectively while a D/Y of 6% in 2025.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs456bn in 2QFY26, up 3% YoY from Rs443bn in 2QFY25.</li><li>The banking sector’s earnings declined by 3% YoY and 9% QoQ to Rs148.9bn in 2QFY26.</li><li>The food and personal care sector recorded a 3.6x YoY increase in profitability to Rs28.6bn, driven by one-off gains recognized by National Foods (NATF) from the sale of stake in its subsidiary.</li></ul>

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs456bn in 2QFY26, up 3% YoY from Rs443bn in 2QFY25.The banking sector’s earnings declined by 3% YoY and 9% QoQ to Rs148.9bn in 2QFY26.The food and personal care sector recorded a 3.6x YoY increase in profitability to Rs28.6bn, driven by one-off gains recognized by National Foods (NATF) from the sale of stake in its subsidiary.

Pakistan Strategy - Corporate Profitability In 2QFY26; Earnings Up 3%, While Dividends Grew By 12% YoY

<ul><li>Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 13.2x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x.</li><li>Segment wise, consumer staple (FMCG) is trading at 2025 PE of 16.1x vs. 10-year average of 26.95x, pharmaceutical is trading at 2025 PE of 18.0x vs. 10-year average PE of 20.74x and consumer discretionary is trading at PE of 8.2x vs. 10-year average PE of 19.27x.</li><li>Sector witnessed 5-year and 10-years sales/profit CAGR of 18%/25% and 13%/14% respectively.</li></ul>

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 13.2x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x.Segment wise, consumer staple (FMCG) is trading at 2025 PE of 16.1x vs. 10-year average of 26.95x, pharmaceutical is trading at 2025 PE of 18.0x vs. 10-year average PE of 20.74x and consumer discretionary is trading at PE of 8.2x vs. 10-year average PE of 19.27x.Sector witnessed 5-year and 10-years sales/profit CAGR of 18%/25% and 13%/14% respectively.

United States

Abbott Laboratories discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells a broad and diversified line of health care products and services. The Company's products include pharmaceuticals, nutritional, diagnostics, and vascular products. Abbott markets its products worldwide through affiliates and distributors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Abbott Laboratories (ABT US)

Upgrading Health Care and Consumer Staples to Market Weight; Monitoring Tech for a Downgrade

Upgrading Health Care $XLV and Consumer Staples $XLP to Market Weight; Monitoring Tech $XLK for a Downgrade. $LLY $JNJ $ABBV $MRK $NVS $ABT $NVO...

Vermilion Research

IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Nimish Maheshwari

Pakistan Listed Consumer Comp Sheet

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 12.0x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x. Segment wise,...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Strategy - Corporate Profitability In 2QFY26; Earnings Up 3%, While Dividends Grew By 12% YoY

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs456bn in 2QFY26, up 3% YoY from Rs443bn in 2QFY25. The banking sector’s earnings declined by 3% YoY...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Listed Consumer Comp Sheet

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 13.2x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x. Segment wise,...

Topline Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Health Care and Consumer Staples to Market Weight; Monitoring Tech for a Downgrade

Upgrading Health Care $XLV and Consumer Staples $XLP to Market Weight; Monitoring Tech $XLK for a Downgrade. $LLY $JNJ $ABBV $MRK $NVS $ABT $NVO...

Vermilion Research

IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

​IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Nimish Maheshwari

Pakistan Listed Consumer Comp Sheet

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 12.0x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x. Segment wise,...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Strategy - Corporate Profitability In 2QFY26; Earnings Up 3%, While Dividends Grew By 12% YoY

KSE-100 index companies posted earnings of Rs456bn in 2QFY26, up 3% YoY from Rs443bn in 2QFY25. The banking sector’s earnings declined by 3% YoY...

Topline Securities

Pakistan Listed Consumer Comp Sheet

Pakistan listed Consumer sector is currently trading at 2025 PE of 13.2x which is at a discount to its historical average of 22.32x. Segment wise,...

Topline Securities

IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...