External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ACC Limited- a part of Adani Cement is one of India’s leading producers of cement and ready-mix concrete. It is a member of the Adani Group - which has the largest and fastest-growing portfolio of diversified sustainable businesses.</li><li>ACC has 18 cement manufacturing sites, over 80 RMC plants and a nationwide network of channel partners to serve its customers.</li><li>Established in 1936, ACC is counted among the country’s 'Most Sustainable Companies' and is recognized for its best practices in environment management and corporate citizenship.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ACC Limited- a part of Adani Cement is one of India’s leading producers of cement and ready-mix concrete. It is a member of the Adani Group - which has the largest and fastest-growing portfolio of diversified sustainable businesses.ACC has 18 cement manufacturing sites, over 80 RMC plants and a nationwide network of channel partners to serve its customers.Established in 1936, ACC is counted among the country’s 'Most Sustainable Companies' and is recognized for its best practices in environment management and corporate citizenship.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pick of the Week - ACC Ltd - 08 January 2024

<ul><li>Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.</li><li>This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.</li><li>After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index. For the BSE 100 and BSE 200 indices I see six and five changes respectively.</li>
<li>Some of these changes are different from those expected in my last insight. However, the changes expected in this insight will be my final expectations for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index. For the BSE 100 and BSE 200 indices I see six and five changes respectively.
Some of these changes are different from those expected in my last insight. However, the changes expected in this insight will be my final expectations for the December 2023 Rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debt</li><li>IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate</li><li>Earnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debtIOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimateEarnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

India

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

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ACC Ltd (ACC IN)

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Pick of the Week - ACC Ltd - 08 January 2024

Established in 1936, ACC is counted among the country’s 'Most Sustainable Companies' and is recognized for its best practices in environment...

Axis Direct

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

The BSE SENSEX and BSE 100 index changes for Dec 23 could be announced in a few days. This might be good time to revisit Quiddity's final...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially...

HDFC Securities

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Pick of the Week - ACC Ltd - 08 January 2024

Established in 1936, ACC is counted among the country’s 'Most Sustainable Companies' and is recognized for its best practices in environment...

Axis Direct

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

The BSE SENSEX and BSE 100 index changes for Dec 23 could be announced in a few days. This might be good time to revisit Quiddity's final...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially...

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank