Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The JPX Nikkei 400 index rebalance will take place on Wednesday, MSIC on Thursday and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI on Friday.</li>
<li>There are review cutoffs for the MVIS family of indices, and multiple announcements of changes to various indices during the week.</li>
<li>There were inflows to mainland China ETFs, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares India ETF (INDA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-small-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32064:1" rel="noopener">Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares EmergingMarkets ex China (EMXC)</a> while there were outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The JPX Nikkei 400 index rebalance will take place on Wednesday, MSIC on Thursday and HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI on Friday.
There are review cutoffs for the MVIS family of indices, and multiple announcements of changes to various indices during the week.
There were inflows to mainland China ETFs, iShares India ETF (INDA), Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN) and iShares EmergingMarkets ex China (EMXC) while there were outflows for iShares Emerging Markets (EEM).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSI, HSTECH, Yuanta ETFs, China ETFs, REMX, KOSPI

<ul>
<li>There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.</li>
<li>The potential adds are driven by the AI-frenzy that has swept the market for the last few months. Most potential deletions are shipping stocks that are way off their highs.</li>
<li>Short interest on the potential deletions is high in terms of days of ADV and free float. The rise in shorts on the potential adds is being rapidly covered.</li>
</ul>


There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September.
The potential adds are driven by the AI-frenzy that has swept the market for the last few months. Most potential deletions are shipping stocks that are way off their highs.
Short interest on the potential deletions is high in terms of days of ADV and free float. The rise in shorts on the potential adds is being rapidly covered.


Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's street-beating results indicate strong growth to continue; Generative AI demand will next expand from startups, consumer internet, and cloud service providers increasingly to enterprise AI-linked demand.</li>
<li>Nvidia is not expensive despite recent market concerns. We believe Nvidia can meet or even beat its current calendar year 2024 earnings expectations and forward PE is cheap.</li>
<li>Short a basket of Taiwan AI concept stocks vs. a core Nvidia long position rather than take profits in Nvidia. We have swapped one Taiwan stock in our short basket.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's street-beating results indicate strong growth to continue; Generative AI demand will next expand from startups, consumer internet, and cloud service providers increasingly to enterprise AI-linked demand.
Nvidia is not expensive despite recent market concerns. We believe Nvidia can meet or even beat its current calendar year 2024 earnings expectations and forward PE is cheap.
Short a basket of Taiwan AI concept stocks vs. a core Nvidia long position rather than take profits in Nvidia. We have swapped one Taiwan stock in our short basket.


Nvidia Still Cheap: Enterprise AI Next Driver to Kick-In; Adjusting Our Taiwan AI Plays Short Hedge

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,897.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,975mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip Tech, King Yuan Elec, Wt, Accton Tech, Powertech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,897.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,975mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip Tech, King Yuan Elec, Wt, Accton Tech, Powertech.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech Shares Fell Sharply Along With Global Selling -- Semiconductor and AI Names Most Exposed</li>
<li>What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference? </li>
<li>ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT) Wins iPhone 16 System-in-Package Order from Apple (AAPL US)</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech Shares Fell Sharply Along With Global Selling -- Semiconductor and AI Names Most Exposed
What Is TSMC Telling Us About Semi Supply Chain Stories at Its Investor Conference? 
ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT) Wins iPhone 16 System-in-Package Order from Apple (AAPL US)


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Semi/AI Darlings Slammed; TSMC Supply Chain Insights; ASE Wins Key IPhone Order

Taiwan

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

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Accton Technology (2345 TT)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSI, HSTECH, Yuanta ETFs, China ETFs, REMX, KOSPI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta Taiwan Top 50 ETF + 1 deletion for the Yuanta Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September. There has been a big...

Brian Freitas

Nvidia Still Cheap: Enterprise AI Next Driver to Kick-In; Adjusting Our Taiwan AI Plays Short Hedge

Short a basket of Taiwan AI concept stocks vs. a core Nvidia Long position rather than take profits in Nvidia. We have swapped one stock in our...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Semi/AI Darlings Slammed; TSMC Supply Chain Insights; ASE Wins Key IPhone Order

Taiwan tech shares drop sharply due to global selling, with semiconductor and AI companies most affected. TSMC sheds light on the semiconductor...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSI, HSTECH, Yuanta ETFs, China ETFs, REMX, KOSPI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta ETFs Rebalance Preview: Changes Galore as Stocks Soar; Shorts Increase, Then Cover

There should be 4 changes to the Yuanta Taiwan Top 50 ETF + 1 deletion for the Yuanta Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in September. There has been a big...

Brian Freitas

Nvidia Still Cheap: Enterprise AI Next Driver to Kick-In; Adjusting Our Taiwan AI Plays Short Hedge

Short a basket of Taiwan AI concept stocks vs. a core Nvidia Long position rather than take profits in Nvidia. We have swapped one stock in our...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta Computer, Alchip

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Elec, Yageo, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Semi/AI Darlings Slammed; TSMC Supply Chain Insights; ASE Wins Key IPhone Order

​Taiwan tech shares drop sharply due to global selling, with semiconductor and AI companies most affected. TSMC sheds light on the semiconductor...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan tech shares drop sharply due to global selling, with semiconductor and AI companies most affected. TSMC sheds light on the semiconductor...