Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.</li>
<li>Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.</li>
<li>Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.</li>
</ul>


2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.
Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.
Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.


AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

Taiwan

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Accton Technology (2345 TT)

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

​AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...