Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.</li>
<li>Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.</li>
<li>Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.</li>
</ul>


2025 AI revenue ~US$19bn, up 55-60% YoY. Similar growth in 2026 or $~30bn. Mngt declined to update 2027 addressable market (SAM), previously stated at $60-90bn. That looks too high.
Risk of disappointment for 2027? No, Consensus is too low. Our estimate for 2026 revenue is $79bn versus consensus at $73bn, $95bn in ’27 vs Consensus $83.
Consensus for AI stocks is too low. But AVGO is expensive at 33x FY26 Consensus, most likely ~30x and ~25x 2027 if I’m correct. That’s more expensive than NVDA.


AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD944.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,396mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD842.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,406mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.</li>
<li>Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.</li>
</ul>


Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell into strength as benchmark weights surpass 10%
Hon Hai, Hyundai Motor, and Singtel lead recoveries from prolonged declines. Baidu Inc. and Kweichow Moutai see sharp ownership drops.
Momentum leaders include Accton Technology, CATL, and KE Holdings. By contrast, Axis Bank, PDD, and Reliance face stalling ownership.


Asia Ex-Japan Funds:  Stock Positioning Update

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

Taiwan

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Accton Technology (2345 TT)

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Stock Positioning Update

Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AVGO Results Good. 55-60% AI Growth in 2025, Same in 26. Consensus Is ~10% Too Low, Stock Expensive

​AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai Precision, Ctbc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 11th): Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Quanta Computer, TSMC, Ctbc Financial.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Stock Positioning Update

Top holdings remain unchanged: TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and Tencent are almost universally owned. TSMC hits record weights but active funds sell...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

AI revenue projected to reach $19bn in 2025, $30bn in 2026. Consensus estimates for Broadcom revenues are too low, but AVGO is more expensive than...