Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July. We expect the changes to be announced 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.45% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 3,675m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July. We expect the changes to be announced 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.45% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 3,675m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One 'It Depends'

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by foreign investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows  for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye, Gree, Moutai, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by foreign investors.
We highlight inflows  for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye, Gree, Moutai, Midea.


Northbound Flows Monthly (May): $1.7bn Outflows

<ul>
<li>It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.</li>
<li>The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF.</li>
</ul>


It was a busy week with index rebalance implementations and announcements of index changes.
The coming week has the KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 rebalancing on Thursday and a bunch of onshore China indices rebalancing on Friday.
There were big inflows to China ETFs during the week while the largest inflows went to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.
The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

<ul>
<li>There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>All the inclusions are also additions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shanghai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
All the inclusions are also additions to the CSI 500 Index and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

China

ACM Research (Shanghai), Inc. manufactures and distributes semiconductor devices. The Company produces semiconductor cleaning equipment, semiconductor electroplating equipment, advanced packaging wet equipment, and other equipment. ACM Research (Shanghai) markets its products throughout China.

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ACM Research Shanghai (688082 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One 'It Depends'

There could be 2 changes in September if a 6 month minimum listing history is used. Piotech was added to the CSI500 in June and there are multiple...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): $1.7bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for May and highlight flows for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300/500, Chinext, China Semi Chips, Nifty Next50, SET50, REMX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index. The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks. The...

Brian Freitas

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

There are 6 index changes in June. All the adds are also inclusions for the CSI500 Index, so there will be passive inflows from multiple trackers....

Brian Freitas

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