Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's (APSEZ) FY 2022-23 results were in line with expectations, with revenue and EBITDA exceeding management’s guidance. That said, cargo volume growth slightly missed estimates. Leverage was largely stable (despite heavy outlays for acquisition and capex), thanks to strong earnings improvement. For FY 2023-24, we anticipate the company will generate FCF of INR 50-60 bn, assuming APSEZ does not make any material new acquisitions. Management reiterated that the company’s priority is to deleverage in FY 2023-24, and guided for Net Debt/EBITDA to improve to 2.5x (from 3.1x in FY 2022-23). There are recent media reports that the Adani Group has committed to USD 10 bn of investments in Vietnam. Management clarified that the investments are meant to be carried out over the medium to long term. We believe the fallout for Adani Group from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in late January 2023 is largely over. We view positively that the group has been addressing some of Hindenburg’s allegations by reducing leverage and raising equity to repay share-backed loans.

  Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's (APSEZ) FY 2022-23 results were in line with expectations, with revenue and EBITDA exceeding management’s guidance. That said, cargo volume growth slightly missed estimates. Leverage was largely stable (despite heavy outlays for acquisition and capex), thanks to strong earnings improvement. For FY 2023-24, we anticipate the company will generate FCF of INR 50-60 bn, assuming APSEZ does not make any material new acquisitions.   Management reiterated that the company’s priority is to deleverage in FY 2023-24, and guided for Net Debt/EBITDA to improve to 2.5x (from 3.1x in FY 2022-23). There are recent media reports that the Adani Group has committed to USD 10 bn of investments in Vietnam. Management clarified that the investments are meant to be carried out over the medium to long term.   We believe the fallout for Adani Group from Hindenburg Research’s short-sell report in late January 2023 is largely over. We view positively that the group has been addressing some of Hindenburg’s allegations by reducing leverage and raising equity to repay share-backed loans. 

Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/lenovo-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lenovo</a></li><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:LenovoVedanta ResourcesChina Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely Autoand more...

The Asia HY Trade Book for May 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits.

  The Asia HY Trade Book for May 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits. 

Asia HY Trade Book - May 2023 - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Melco Resorts & Entertainment</a></li><li><a href='/entities/hopson-development-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Hopson Development</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Melco Resorts & EntertainmentHopson DevelopmentChina Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International HoldingsGeely Autoand more...

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20668:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)</a>'s ¥300bn buyback means 8+% of ADV every day from here to end-Dec 2023. Buy MitCorp vs trading houses with less of a buyback impact. </li>
<li>Rumours abound of an MSCI up weight for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a>. It wasn't a clear-cut situation. And nothing came of it. </li>
<li>There are concerns about the stability of funding for JIP’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> in the event that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia (6600 JP)</a>’s results collapse further.</li>
</ul>



Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)'s ¥300bn buyback means 8+% of ADV every day from here to end-Dec 2023. Buy MitCorp vs trading houses with less of a buyback impact. 
Rumours abound of an MSCI up weight for Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP). It wasn't a clear-cut situation. And nothing came of it. 
There are concerns about the stability of funding for JIP’s offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) in the event that Kioxia (6600 JP)’s results collapse further.


Last Week in Event SPACE: MitCorp, Jardine Matheson, Toshiba, Japanese Foreign Inflows

India

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

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Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

Adani Ports - Earnings Flash - FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone's (APSEZ) FY 2022-23 results were in line with expectations, with revenue and EBITDA exceeding management’s...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 26 May 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Book - May 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Book for May 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 19 May 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Last Week in Event SPACE: MitCorp, Jardine Matheson, Toshiba, Japanese Foreign Inflows

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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