Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> Further Public Offering ("FPO") expected to raise Rs 200bn has its first leg publicly complete with anchor investors taking Rs 59.849bn. </li>
<li>Noted shortseller Hindenburg Research published a <a href="https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">long report</a> suggesting Adani Enterprises and indeed the Adani Group were over-priced according to fundamentals and were the result of  a "con."</li>
<li>Now the book build starts. Deal structure and Adani Group CFO comments continue to suggest that Liquidity is a Bug, not a Feature.</li>
</ul>


The Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) Further Public Offering ("FPO") expected to raise Rs 200bn has its first leg publicly complete with anchor investors taking Rs 59.849bn. 
Noted shortseller Hindenburg Research published a long report suggesting Adani Enterprises and indeed the Adani Group were over-priced according to fundamentals and were the result of  a "con."
Now the book build starts. Deal structure and Adani Group CFO comments continue to suggest that Liquidity is a Bug, not a Feature.


Adani Enterprises FPO Update:  Hindenburg, Anchors, and Righteous Indignation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Adani Enterprises is looking to raise INR200bn (US$2.4bn) via a further public offering (FPO). Bookbuild will begin tomorrow (27th Jan 23) and last till the end of the month.</li>
<li>Adani Enterprises is the flagship company of the Adani Group. The group’s entities' stock performance over the past few years has made the founder one of the richest persons globally.</li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note published. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and the deal pricing and structure.</li>
</ul>


Adani Enterprises is looking to raise INR200bn (US$2.4bn) via a further public offering (FPO). Bookbuild will begin tomorrow (27th Jan 23) and last till the end of the month.
Adani Enterprises is the flagship company of the Adani Group. The group’s entities' stock performance over the past few years has made the founder one of the richest persons globally.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note published. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and the deal pricing and structure.


Adani Enterprises US$2.4bn FPO - Updates, Pricing, Structure, Anchor and Some More

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/Events/Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.</li>
<li>There will be a few announcements next week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> rebalances on Friday.</li>
<li>Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.
There will be a few announcements next week with Nikkei 225 early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the STAR50 rebalances on Friday.
Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the CSI 300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.</li>
<li>Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six month.
Active managers could continue to realign their portfolios. Some of the upward migrations will have passive flows in the next few days and over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

India

Adani Wilmar Limited provides edible oil and fats. The Company offers oil products such as soyabean, sesame, sunflower, cottonseed, ground nut, mustard, coconut, and vegetable to households and business institutions. Adani Wilmar serves customers worldwide.

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Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN)

Adani Enterprises FPO Update: Hindenburg, Anchors, and Righteous Indignation

Adani Enterprises has priced/allocated the 30% of the Rs 200bn FPO going to anchor investors. Next is to Retail, HNWI, Employees, Funds. Liquidity...

Travis Lundy

Adani Enterprises US$2.4bn FPO - Updates, Pricing, Structure, Anchor and Some More

Adani Enterprises is looking to raise INR200bn (US$2.4bn) via a further public offering (FPO). We have covered most of the details in our prior...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): Overlap Between Active & Passive Flows

We see 42 potential migrations between the size categories. The small to mid migrations have outperformed. There will be a lot of overlap between...

Brian Freitas

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P/E

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